--- title: "10% chaos case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "10% chaos ($11.53) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 27.20% over 30 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/10percent-chaos rendered: 2026-11-11T23:29Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [10% chaos](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/10percent-chaos) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · 10% chaos A case on Clash.gg, first seen 6 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/10percent-chaos?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/10percent-chaos?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/10percent-chaos) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/10percent-chaos?window=all) Price · $11.53 · 17.74 gems Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 27.20% · 30 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 12 openings · below min 7 days · 30 openings · below min 30 days · 30 openings · below min since tracking started · 30 openings · below min -0.5% 52.5% 105.5% **Small sample.** 30 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/10percent-chaos?window=24h) | 12 | 45.29% ±59.8 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/10percent-chaos?window=7d) | 30 | 27.20% ±29.6 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/10percent-chaos) | 30 | 27.20% ±29.6 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/10percent-chaos?window=all) | 30 | 27.20% ±29.6 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Clash.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=10percent-chaos) [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Kumicho Dragon (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-kumicho-dragon-minimal-wear) Hidden $11.53 17.74 gems $31.30 48.16 gems 2.71x 2026-11-11 20:50 UTC [MP9 | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-field-tested) [Leon der Slalomdribbler](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Leon%20der%20Slalomdribbler) $11.53 17.74 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 20:50 UTC [MP9 | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-field-tested) [Muffel](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Muffel) $11.53 17.74 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 20:50 UTC [MP9 | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $11.53 17.74 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 20:50 UTC [MP9 | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $11.53 17.74 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 20:50 UTC [MP9 | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-field-tested) [Dubayy](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Dubayy) $11.53 17.74 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 20:50 UTC [MP9 | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $11.53 17.74 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 03:59 UTC [MP9 | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $11.53 17.74 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 03:59 UTC [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Kumicho Dragon (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-kumicho-dragon-minimal-wear) Hidden $11.53 17.74 gems $31.30 48.16 gems 2.71x 2026-11-11 03:59 UTC [MP9 | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $11.53 17.74 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 03:59 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 27.2% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $27.20 on average: an expected loss of $72.80 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt