--- title: "10% crazy luck new case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "10% crazy luck new ($21.44) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 188.78% over 136 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/10percent-crazy-luck-new rendered: 2026-11-12T00:47Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [10% crazy luck new](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/10percent-crazy-luck-new) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · 10% crazy luck new A case on Clash.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/10percent-crazy-luck-new?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/10percent-crazy-luck-new?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/10percent-crazy-luck-new) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/10percent-crazy-luck-new?window=all) Price · $21.44 · 32.99 gems Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 188.78% · 136 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 12 openings · below min 7 days · 120 openings · below min 30 days · 136 openings · below min since tracking started · 136 openings · below min -0.5% 202.5% 405.5% **Small sample.** 136 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/10percent-crazy-luck-new?window=24h) | 12 | 25.22% ±49.4 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/10percent-crazy-luck-new?window=7d) | 120 | 211.43% ±193.3 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/10percent-crazy-luck-new) | 136 | 188.78% ±170.8 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/10percent-crazy-luck-new?window=all) | 136 | 188.78% ±170.8 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Clash.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Skeleton Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · legendary · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) [ᴰᵉʳˢⁱˣᵒᵀⱽ](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/%E1%B4%B0%E1%B5%89%CA%B3%CB%A2%E2%81%B1%CB%A3%E1%B5%92%E1%B5%80%E2%B1%BD) $21.44 32.99 gems $2,203 3,390 gems 102.8x 2026-11-10 02:13 UTC [★ Skeleton Knife | Doppler (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $21.44 32.99 gems $852 1,311 gems 39.74x 2026-11-10 20:24 UTC [★ Skeleton Knife | Doppler (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-doppler-factory-new) [kick.com/snupster](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/kick.com%2Fsnupster) $21.44 32.99 gems $852 1,311 gems 39.74x 2026-11-07 19:06 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=10percent-crazy-luck-new) [Sticker | noway | Copenhagen 2024 sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-noway-copenhagen-2024) Hidden $21.44 32.99 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 16:27 UTC [Sticker | noway | Copenhagen 2024 sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-noway-copenhagen-2024) Hidden $21.44 32.99 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 16:27 UTC [Sticker | noway | Copenhagen 2024 sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-noway-copenhagen-2024) Hidden $21.44 32.99 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 16:27 UTC [Sticker | noway | Copenhagen 2024 sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-noway-copenhagen-2024) Hidden $21.44 32.99 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 16:27 UTC [Sticker | noway | Copenhagen 2024 sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-noway-copenhagen-2024) Hidden $21.44 32.99 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 16:27 UTC [Sticker | noway | Copenhagen 2024 sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-noway-copenhagen-2024) [kick.com/snupster](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/kick.com%2Fsnupster) $21.44 32.99 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 16:27 UTC [Sticker | noway | Copenhagen 2024 sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-noway-copenhagen-2024) Hidden $21.44 32.99 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 07:45 UTC [Sticker | noway | Copenhagen 2024 sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-noway-copenhagen-2024) Hidden $21.44 32.99 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 07:45 UTC [Sticker | noway | Copenhagen 2024 sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-noway-copenhagen-2024) Hidden $21.44 32.99 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 07:45 UTC [Sticker | noway | Copenhagen 2024 sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-noway-copenhagen-2024) Hidden $21.44 32.99 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 07:45 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $2,203 (102.8x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 188.8% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $188.78 on average: an expected loss of $0.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt