--- title: "10% Emerald case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "10% Emerald ($439.17) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 6 items with odds, observed 98.27% over 868 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/10percent-emerald rendered: 2026-11-11T14:12Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [10% Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/10percent-emerald) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · 10% Emerald A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/10percent-emerald?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/10percent-emerald?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/10percent-emerald) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/10percent-emerald?window=all) Price · $439.17 · 676 gems Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $395.25 from 6 items Observed RTP, 30d · 98.27% · 868 openings, odds method Variance · 17.6× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 50 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 90.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 54 openings · below min 7 days · 88.19% ±32.97 622 openings 30 days · 98.27% ±27.91 868 openings since tracking started · 98.27% ±27.91 868 openings -0.5% 63.3% 127.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/10percent-emerald?window=24h) | 54 | 0.42% ±111.9 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/10percent-emerald?window=7d) | 622 | 88.19% ±33.0 | −0.1σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/10percent-emerald) | 868 | 98.27% ±27.9 | +0.6σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/10percent-emerald?window=all) | 868 | 98.27% ±27.9 | +0.6σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 6 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 872 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $16.6K 25,473 gems | 41.9% | 13 | 8.7 | 1.49× | | [★ Bayonet \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $5,814 8,945 gems | 14.7% | 8 | 8.7 | 0.92× | | [★ Flip Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $4,817 7,410 gems | 12.2% | 7 | 8.7 | 0.80× | | [★ Huntsman Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $2,475 3,807 gems | 18.8% | 17 | 26.2 | 0.65× | | [★ Gut Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 25 | $1,186 1,825 gems | 12.0% | 30 | 34.9 | 0.86× | | [R8 Revolver \| Crazy 8 (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-crazy-8-factory-new) | 90.0% | $1.87 2.87 gems | 0.4% | 797 | 784.8 | 1.02× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $439 676 gems $16.6K 25,473 gems 37.70x 2026-11-08 20:48 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $439 676 gems $16.6K 25,473 gems 37.70x 2026-11-08 00:18 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $439 676 gems $16.6K 25,473 gems 37.70x 2026-11-06 11:05 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $439 676 gems $16.6K 25,473 gems 37.70x 2026-11-05 19:34 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $439 676 gems $16.6K 25,473 gems 37.70x 2026-11-05 19:34 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $439 676 gems $16.6K 25,473 gems 37.70x 2026-11-05 00:50 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $439 676 gems $16.6K 25,473 gems 37.70x 2026-11-05 00:14 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $439 676 gems $16.6K 25,473 gems 37.70x 2026-11-05 00:13 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $439 676 gems $16.6K 25,473 gems 37.70x 2026-11-04 19:46 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) [POTATO](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/POTATO) $439 676 gems $16.6K 25,473 gems 37.70x 2026-11-04 05:20 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=10percent-emerald) [R8 Revolver | Crazy 8 (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-crazy-8-factory-new) Hidden $439 676 gems $1.87 2.87 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 09:58 UTC [R8 Revolver | Crazy 8 (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-crazy-8-factory-new) Hidden $439 676 gems $1.87 2.87 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 09:58 UTC [R8 Revolver | Crazy 8 (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-crazy-8-factory-new) Hidden $439 676 gems $1.87 2.87 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 09:58 UTC [R8 Revolver | Crazy 8 (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-crazy-8-factory-new) Hidden $439 676 gems $1.87 2.87 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 09:58 UTC [R8 Revolver | Crazy 8 (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-crazy-8-factory-new) Hidden $439 676 gems $1.87 2.87 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 09:58 UTC [R8 Revolver | Crazy 8 (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-crazy-8-factory-new) [Hydrarewards.com](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Hydrarewards.com) $439 676 gems $1.87 2.87 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 09:58 UTC [R8 Revolver | Crazy 8 (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-crazy-8-factory-new) Hidden $439 676 gems $1.87 2.87 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 09:57 UTC [R8 Revolver | Crazy 8 (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-crazy-8-factory-new) Hidden $439 676 gems $1.87 2.87 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 09:57 UTC [R8 Revolver | Crazy 8 (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-crazy-8-factory-new) Hidden $439 676 gems $1.87 2.87 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 09:57 UTC [R8 Revolver | Crazy 8 (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-crazy-8-factory-new) Hidden $439 676 gems $1.87 2.87 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 09:57 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $439 | 90.00% | 6 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed gold 2.0% #ffd700 1.0% sunny 3.0% Immortal 4.0% restricted 90.0% best hit $16.6K (37.70x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt