--- title: "10% fade knife win case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "10% fade knife win ($25.71) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 121.18% over 114 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/10percent-fade-knife-win rendered: 2026-11-12T09:53Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [10% fade knife win](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/10percent-fade-knife-win) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · 10% fade knife win A case on Clash.gg, first seen 4 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/10percent-fade-knife-win?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/10percent-fade-knife-win?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/10percent-fade-knife-win) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/10percent-fade-knife-win?window=all) Price · $25.71 · 39.55 gems Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 121.18% · 114 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 6 openings · below min 7 days · 34 openings · below min 30 days · 114 openings · below min since tracking started · 114 openings · below min -0.5% 120.3% 241.0% **Small sample.** 114 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/10percent-fade-knife-win?window=24h) | 6 | 11.85% ±21.7 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/10percent-fade-knife-win?window=7d) | 34 | 41.55% ±39.3 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/10percent-fade-knife-win) | 114 | 121.18% ±119.3 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/10percent-fade-knife-win?window=all) | 114 | 121.18% ±119.3 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Clash.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Butterfly Knife | Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-fade-factory-new) Hidden $25.71 39.55 gems $1,730 2,662 gems 67.30x 2026-11-04 15:56 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=10percent-fade-knife-win) [Sawed-Off | Amber Fade (Factory New) weapon · 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-amber-fade-factory-new) Hidden $25.71 39.55 gems $0.35 0.54 gems 0.01x 2026-11-11 19:43 UTC [AUG | Amber Fade (Well-Worn) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-amber-fade-well-worn) Hidden $25.71 39.55 gems $0.16 0.25 gems 0.01x 2026-11-11 19:43 UTC [AUG | Amber Fade (Well-Worn) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-amber-fade-well-worn) Hidden $25.71 39.55 gems $0.16 0.25 gems 0.01x 2026-11-11 19:43 UTC [AUG | Amber Fade (Well-Worn) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-amber-fade-well-worn) Hidden $25.71 39.55 gems $0.16 0.25 gems 0.01x 2026-11-11 19:43 UTC [AUG | Amber Fade (Well-Worn) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-amber-fade-well-worn) Hidden $25.71 39.55 gems $0.16 0.25 gems 0.01x 2026-11-11 19:43 UTC [MAC-10 | Fade (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-fade-factory-new) [Onlyfans 88 ♿](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Onlyfans%2088%20%E2%99%BF) $25.71 39.55 gems $17.28 26.58 gems 0.67x 2026-11-11 19:43 UTC [AUG | Amber Fade (Well-Worn) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-amber-fade-well-worn) Hidden $25.71 39.55 gems $0.16 0.25 gems 0.01x 2026-11-10 20:28 UTC [MAC-10 | Fade (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-fade-factory-new) Hidden $25.71 39.55 gems $17.28 26.58 gems 0.67x 2026-11-10 20:28 UTC [Sawed-Off | Amber Fade (Factory New) weapon · 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-amber-fade-factory-new) Hidden $25.71 39.55 gems $0.35 0.54 gems 0.01x 2026-11-10 20:28 UTC [Sawed-Off | Amber Fade (Factory New) weapon · 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-amber-fade-factory-new) [Kanyeeast](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Kanyeeast) $25.71 39.55 gems $0.35 0.54 gems 0.01x 2026-11-10 20:28 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $1,730 (67.30x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 121.2% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $121.18 on average: an expected loss of $0.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt