---
title: "10% Glawked case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "10% Glawked ($13.36) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.99% from 12 items with odds, observed 80.52% over 3,996 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/10percent-glawked
rendered: 2026-11-12T00:47Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [10% Glawked](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/10percent-glawked)

# [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · 10% Glawked

A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/10percent-glawked?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/10percent-glawked?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/10percent-glawked) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/10percent-glawked?window=all)

Price · $13.36 · 20.55 gems

Advertised RTP · 89.99% · EV $12.02 from 12 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 80.52% · 3,996 openings, odds method

Variance · 7.6× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 25 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 90.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 95.60% ±20.50 699 openings

7 days · 77.20% ±10.00 2,938 openings

30 days · 80.52% ±8.57 3,996 openings

since tracking started · 80.52% ±8.57 3,996 openings

66.5% 91.5% 116.5%

**Outside band, 30 days.** Advertised 89.99% sits outside the 95% band of the observed openings (71.95% – 89.09%, 3,996 openings, 30 days). The band comes from the site's own odds and values; the figure is a fact about these openings, not a verdict on the case.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/10percent-glawked?window=24h) | 699 | 95.60% ±20.5 | +0.5σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/10percent-glawked?window=7d) | 2,938 | 77.20% ±10.00 | −2.5σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/10percent-glawked) | 3,996 | 80.52% ±8.57 | −2.2σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/10percent-glawked?window=all) | 3,996 | 80.52% ±8.57 | −2.2σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 4,056 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Glock-18 \| Synth Leaf (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-synth-leaf-factory-new) | 1 in 133 | $345 531 gems | 21.5% | 22 | 30.4 | 0.72× |
| [Glock-18 \| Twilight Galaxy (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-twilight-galaxy-minimal-wear) | 1 in 80 | $152 234 gems | 15.8% | 37 | 50.7 | 0.73× |
| [Glock-18 \| Dragon Tattoo (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-dragon-tattoo-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $84.50 130 gems | 14.1% | 88 | 81.1 | 1.08× |
| [Glock-18 \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $54.54 83.91 gems | 13.6% | 124 | 121.7 | 1.02× |
| [Glock-18 \| Franklin (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-franklin-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $53.30 82 gems | 13.3% | 110 | 121.7 | 0.90× |
| [Glock-18 \| Snack Attack (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-snack-attack-field-tested) | 10.0% | $4.55 7 gems | 3.8% | 379 | 405.6 | 0.93× |
| [Glock-18 \| Gold Toof (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-gold-toof-battle-scarred) | 10.0% | $4.15 6.38 gems | 3.4% | 443 | 405.6 | 1.09× |
| [Glock-18 \| Wasteland Rebel (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-wasteland-rebel-minimal-wear) | 10.0% | $3.79 5.83 gems | 3.2% | 413 | 405.6 | 1.02× |
| [Glock-18 \| Royal Legion (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-royal-legion-minimal-wear) | 15.0% | $2.88 4.43 gems | 3.6% | 624 | 608.4 | 1.03× |
| [Glock-18 \| Water Elemental (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-water-elemental-battle-scarred) | 15.0% | $2.57 3.95 gems | 3.2% | 595 | 608.4 | 0.98× |
| [Glock-18 \| Candy Apple (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-candy-apple-factory-new) | 15.0% | $2.13 3.28 gems | 2.7% | 605 | 608.4 | 0.99× |
| [Glock-18 \| Moonrise (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-moonrise-factory-new) | 15.0% | $1.48 2.27 gems | 1.8% | 616 | 608.4 | 1.01× |

Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 12 Nov, 00:07 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=10percent-glawked)

[Glock-18 | Royal Legion (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-royal-legion-minimal-wear) Hidden $13.36 20.55 gems $2.88 4.43 gems 0.22x 2026-11-12 00:08 UTC

[Glock-18 | Royal Legion (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-royal-legion-minimal-wear) Hidden $13.36 20.55 gems $2.88 4.43 gems 0.22x 2026-11-12 00:08 UTC

[Glock-18 | Snack Attack (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-snack-attack-field-tested) Hidden $13.36 20.55 gems $4.55 7 gems 0.34x 2026-11-12 00:08 UTC

[Glock-18 | Gold Toof (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-gold-toof-battle-scarred) [Stariks](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Stariks) $13.36 20.55 gems $4.15 6.38 gems 0.31x 2026-11-12 00:08 UTC

[Glock-18 | Snack Attack (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-snack-attack-field-tested) Hidden $13.36 20.55 gems $4.55 7 gems 0.34x 2026-11-12 00:08 UTC

[Glock-18 | Gold Toof (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-gold-toof-battle-scarred) Hidden $13.36 20.55 gems $4.15 6.38 gems 0.31x 2026-11-12 00:08 UTC

[Glock-18 | Royal Legion (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-royal-legion-minimal-wear) Hidden $13.36 20.55 gems $2.88 4.43 gems 0.22x 2026-11-12 00:08 UTC

[Glock-18 | Wasteland Rebel (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-wasteland-rebel-minimal-wear) [Stariks](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Stariks) $13.36 20.55 gems $3.79 5.83 gems 0.28x 2026-11-12 00:08 UTC

[Glock-18 | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-gamma-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $13.36 20.55 gems $54.54 83.91 gems 4.08x 2026-11-12 00:07 UTC

[Glock-18 | Water Elemental (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-water-elemental-battle-scarred) Hidden $13.36 20.55 gems $2.57 3.95 gems 0.19x 2026-11-12 00:07 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 3 Nov, 01:59 UTC | $13.36 | 89.99% | 12 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed restricted 17.8% classified 11.3% red 13.0% Mythical 3.0% covert 10.0% violet 15.0% pink 15.0% mil spec 15.0% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.99 on average: an expected loss of $10.01 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt