--- title: "10% Gold case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "10% Gold ($284.67) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 12 items with odds, observed 92.64% over 1,143 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/10percent-gold rendered: 2026-11-11T20:08Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [10% Gold](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/10percent-gold) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · 10% Gold A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/10percent-gold?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/10percent-gold?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/10percent-gold) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/10percent-gold?window=all) Price · $284.67 · 438 gems Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $256.20 from 12 items Observed RTP, 30d · 92.64% · 1,143 openings, odds method Variance · 9.5× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 31 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 90.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 110 openings · below min 7 days · 98.61% ±19.45 962 openings 30 days · 92.64% ±17.84 1,143 openings since tracking started · 92.64% ±17.84 1,143 openings 36.0% 94.2% 152.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/10percent-gold?window=24h) | 110 | 94.10% ±57.5 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/10percent-gold?window=7d) | 962 | 98.61% ±19.4 | +0.9σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/10percent-gold) | 1,143 | 92.64% ±17.8 | +0.3σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/10percent-gold?window=all) | 1,143 | 92.64% ±17.8 | +0.3σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,167 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Sticker \| ShahZaM (Gold) \| Boston 2018 sticker · #EB4B4B](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-shahzam-gold-boston-2018) | 1 in 400 | $7,472 11,495 gems | 7.3% | 2 | 2.9 | 0.69× | | [Sticker \| captainMo (Gold) \| Boston 2018 sticker · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-captainmo-gold-boston-2018) | 1 in 200 | $5,549 8,538 gems | 10.8% | 7 | 5.8 | 1.20× | | [Sticker \| somebody (Gold) \| Boston 2018 sticker · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-somebody-gold-boston-2018) | 1 in 100 | $3,421 5,263 gems | 13.4% | 12 | 11.7 | 1.03× | | [Sticker \| s1mple (Gold) \| Krakow 2017 sticker · Extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-s1mple-gold-krakow-2017) | 1 in 67 | $3,217 4,949 gems | 18.8% | 15 | 17.5 | 0.86× | | [Sticker \| keshandr (Gold) \| Krakow 2017 sticker · #EB4B4B](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-keshandr-gold-krakow-2017) | 1 in 67 | $2,988 4,597 gems | 17.5% | 20 | 17.5 | 1.14× | | [Sticker \| ropz (Gold) \| Krakow 2017 sticker · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ropz-gold-krakow-2017) | 1 in 50 | $1,969 3,029 gems | 15.4% | 24 | 23.3 | 1.03× | | [Sticker \| HEN1 (Gold) \| Boston 2018 sticker · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-hen1-gold-boston-2018) | 1 in 31 | $1,311 2,017 gems | 16.6% | 41 | 37.9 | 1.08× | | [Sticker \| Smoke Criminal sticker · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-smoke-criminal) | 10.0% | $2.35 3.62 gems | 0.1% | 111 | 116.7 | 0.95× | | [Sticker \| Baby Howl sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-baby-howl) | 20.0% | $0.36 0.55 gems | 0.0% | 229 | 233.4 | 0.98× | | [Sticker \| Web Stuck sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-web-stuck) | 20.0% | $0.34 0.53 gems | 0.0% | 224 | 233.4 | 0.96× | | [Sticker \| Mister Chief sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-mister-chief) | 20.0% | $0.31 0.48 gems | 0.0% | 227 | 233.4 | 0.97× | | [Sticker \| Lambda sticker · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-lambda) | 20.0% | $0.28 0.43 gems | 0.0% | 255 | 233.4 | 1.09× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 17:55 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Sticker | ShahZaM (Gold) | Boston 2018 sticker · #EB4B4B](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-shahzam-gold-boston-2018) Hidden $285 438 gems $7,472 11,495 gems 26.25x 2026-11-07 21:42 UTC [Sticker | ShahZaM (Gold) | Boston 2018 sticker · #EB4B4B](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-shahzam-gold-boston-2018) Hidden $285 438 gems $7,472 11,495 gems 26.25x 2026-11-07 12:39 UTC [Sticker | captainMo (Gold) | Boston 2018 sticker · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-captainmo-gold-boston-2018) Hidden $285 438 gems $5,549 8,538 gems 19.49x 2026-11-10 23:22 UTC [Sticker | captainMo (Gold) | Boston 2018 sticker · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-captainmo-gold-boston-2018) Hidden $285 438 gems $5,549 8,538 gems 19.49x 2026-11-10 00:04 UTC [Sticker | captainMo (Gold) | Boston 2018 sticker · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-captainmo-gold-boston-2018) Hidden $285 438 gems $5,549 8,538 gems 19.49x 2026-11-08 21:08 UTC [Sticker | captainMo (Gold) | Boston 2018 sticker · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-captainmo-gold-boston-2018) Hidden $285 438 gems $5,549 8,538 gems 19.49x 2026-11-08 21:08 UTC [Sticker | captainMo (Gold) | Boston 2018 sticker · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-captainmo-gold-boston-2018) Hidden $285 438 gems $5,549 8,538 gems 19.49x 2026-11-06 23:16 UTC [Sticker | captainMo (Gold) | Boston 2018 sticker · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-captainmo-gold-boston-2018) [Mischievous Ifrit](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Mischievous%20Ifrit) $285 438 gems $5,549 8,538 gems 19.49x 2026-11-06 18:51 UTC [Sticker | captainMo (Gold) | Boston 2018 sticker · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-captainmo-gold-boston-2018) Hidden $285 438 gems $5,549 8,538 gems 19.49x 2026-11-06 10:40 UTC [Sticker | somebody (Gold) | Boston 2018 sticker · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-somebody-gold-boston-2018) Hidden $285 438 gems $3,421 5,263 gems 12.02x 2026-11-10 14:14 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=10percent-gold) [Sticker | Web Stuck sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-web-stuck) Hidden $285 438 gems $0.34 0.53 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 18:11 UTC [Sticker | Lambda sticker · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-lambda) Hidden $285 438 gems $0.28 0.43 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 18:11 UTC [Sticker | Web Stuck sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-web-stuck) Hidden $285 438 gems $0.34 0.53 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 18:11 UTC [Sticker | Smoke Criminal sticker · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-smoke-criminal) Hidden $285 438 gems $2.35 3.62 gems 0.01x 2026-11-11 18:11 UTC [Sticker | Mister Chief sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-mister-chief) Hidden $285 438 gems $0.31 0.48 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 18:11 UTC [Sticker | Mister Chief sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-mister-chief) [CODE SEXYBOOM / 20K LB](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/CODE%20SEXYBOOM%20%2F%2020K%20LB) $285 438 gems $0.31 0.48 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 18:11 UTC [Sticker | HEN1 (Gold) | Boston 2018 sticker · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-hen1-gold-boston-2018) Hidden $285 438 gems $1,311 2,017 gems 4.61x 2026-11-11 18:02 UTC [Sticker | Lambda sticker · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-lambda) Hidden $285 438 gems $0.28 0.43 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 18:02 UTC [Sticker | s1mple (Gold) | Krakow 2017 sticker · Extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-s1mple-gold-krakow-2017) Hidden $285 438 gems $3,217 4,949 gems 11.30x 2026-11-11 18:02 UTC [Sticker | s1mple (Gold) | Krakow 2017 sticker · Extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-s1mple-gold-krakow-2017) Hidden $285 438 gems $3,217 4,949 gems 11.30x 2026-11-11 18:02 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $285 | 90.00% | 12 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed #EB4B4B 1.7% extraordinary 4.8% Extraordinary 1.5% Ancient 2.0% blue 10.0% high 20.0% Rare 40.0% milspec 20.0% best hit $7,472 (26.25x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt