---
title: "10% Good Fortune case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "10% Good Fortune ($12.91) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 175.70% over 138 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/10percent-good-fortune
rendered: 2026-11-12T01:27Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [10% Good Fortune](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/10percent-good-fortune)

# [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · 10% Good Fortune

A case on Clash.gg, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/10percent-good-fortune?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/10percent-good-fortune?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/10percent-good-fortune) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/10percent-good-fortune?window=all)

Price · $12.91 · 19.86 gems

Advertised RTP · — · no catalog

Observed RTP, 30d · 175.70% · 138 openings, sample method

Variance · — · needs odds

Tail share · — · needs odds

Below price · — · needs odds

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band outside band small sample

7 days · 86 openings · below min

30 days · 138 openings · below min

since tracking started · 138 openings · below min

29.0% 165.3% 301.5%

**Small sample.** 138 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/10percent-good-fortune?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/10percent-good-fortune?window=7d) | 86 | 140.04% ±110.6 | — | sample |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/10percent-good-fortune) | 138 | 175.70% ±125.0 | — | sample |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/10percent-good-fortune?window=all) | 138 | 175.70% ±125.0 | — | sample |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · none published

**No catalog** Clash.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.

Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ Huntsman Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $12.91 19.86 gems $926 1,425 gems 71.75x 2026-11-04 13:56 UTC

[★ Karambit | Stained (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-stained-factory-new) Hidden $12.91 19.86 gems $541 832 gems 41.90x 2026-11-05 23:49 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=10percent-good-fortune)

[★ Shadow Daggers | Stained (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-stained-minimal-wear) Hidden $12.91 19.86 gems $71.81 110 gems 5.56x 2026-11-06 15:46 UTC

[P250 | Sand Dune (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-battle-scarred) Hidden $12.91 19.86 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-06 15:46 UTC

[P250 | Sand Dune (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-battle-scarred) Hidden $12.91 19.86 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-06 15:46 UTC

[P250 | Sand Dune (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-battle-scarred) Hidden $12.91 19.86 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-06 15:46 UTC

[P250 | Sand Dune (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-battle-scarred) Hidden $12.91 19.86 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-06 15:46 UTC

[P250 | Sand Dune (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-battle-scarred) [Flashly](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Flashly) $12.91 19.86 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-06 15:46 UTC

[P250 | Sand Dune (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-battle-scarred) Hidden $12.91 19.86 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-06 01:50 UTC

[P250 | Sand Dune (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-battle-scarred) Hidden $12.91 19.86 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-06 01:50 UTC

[P250 | Sand Dune (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-battle-scarred) Hidden $12.91 19.86 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-06 01:50 UTC

[P250 | Sand Dune (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-battle-scarred) Hidden $12.91 19.86 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-06 01:50 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed best hit $926 (71.75x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 175.7% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $175.70 on average: an expected loss of $0.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
