--- title: "10% gut feeling case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "10% gut feeling ($13.72) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 154.31% over 12 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/10percent-gut-feeling rendered: 2026-11-12T03:41Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [10% gut feeling](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/10percent-gut-feeling) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · 10% gut feeling A case on Clash.gg, first seen 4 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/10percent-gut-feeling?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/10percent-gut-feeling?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/10percent-gut-feeling) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/10percent-gut-feeling?window=all) Price · $13.72 · 21.1 gems Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 154.31% · 12 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 6 openings · below min 7 days · 6 openings · below min 30 days · 12 openings · below min since tracking started · 12 openings · below min -0.5% 212.5% 425.5% **Small sample.** 12 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/10percent-gut-feeling?window=24h) | 6 | 29.53% ±35.5 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/10percent-gut-feeling?window=7d) | 6 | 29.53% ±35.5 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/10percent-gut-feeling) | 12 | 154.31% ±270.7 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/10percent-gut-feeling?window=all) | 12 | 154.31% ±270.7 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Clash.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=10percent-gut-feeling) [Sticker | Gutted sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-gutted) Hidden $13.72 21.1 gems $0.12 0.19 gems 0.01x 2026-11-12 02:18 UTC [Sticker | Gutted sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-gutted) Hidden $13.72 21.1 gems $0.12 0.19 gems 0.01x 2026-11-12 02:18 UTC [Sticker | Dystopian Gaze (Lenticular) sticker · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-dystopian-gaze-lenticular) Hidden $13.72 21.1 gems $11.90 18.31 gems 0.87x 2026-11-12 02:18 UTC [Sticker | Dystopian Gaze (Lenticular) sticker · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-dystopian-gaze-lenticular) Hidden $13.72 21.1 gems $11.90 18.31 gems 0.87x 2026-11-12 02:18 UTC [Sticker | Gutted sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-gutted) Hidden $13.72 21.1 gems $0.12 0.19 gems 0.01x 2026-11-12 02:18 UTC [Sticker | Gutted sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-gutted) [HolyHerb](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/HolyHerb) $13.72 21.1 gems $0.12 0.19 gems 0.01x 2026-11-12 02:18 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 154.3% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $154.31 on average: an expected loss of $0.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt