---
title: "10% HATMAN CHEAP case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "10% HATMAN CHEAP ($2.39) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 103.40% over 42 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/10percent-hatman-cheap
rendered: 2026-11-12T12:04Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [10% HATMAN CHEAP](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/10percent-hatman-cheap)

# [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · 10% HATMAN CHEAP

A case on Clash.gg, first seen 8 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/10percent-hatman-cheap?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/10percent-hatman-cheap?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/10percent-hatman-cheap) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/10percent-hatman-cheap?window=all)

Price · $2.39 · 3.67 gems

Advertised RTP · — · no catalog

Observed RTP, 30d · 103.40% · 42 openings, sample method

Variance · — · needs odds

Tail share · — · needs odds

Below price · — · needs odds

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band outside band small sample

24 hours · 30 openings · below min

7 days · 42 openings · below min

30 days · 42 openings · below min

since tracking started · 42 openings · below min

6.5% 142.0% 277.5%

**Small sample.** 42 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/10percent-hatman-cheap?window=24h) | 30 | 144.65% ±132.2 | — | sample |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/10percent-hatman-cheap?window=7d) | 42 | 103.40% ±96.1 | — | sample |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/10percent-hatman-cheap) | 42 | 103.40% ±96.1 | — | sample |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/10percent-hatman-cheap?window=all) | 42 | 103.40% ±96.1 | — | sample |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · none published

**No catalog** Clash.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.

Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=10percent-hatman-cheap)

[Nova | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-sand-dune-minimal-wear) Hidden $2.39 3.67 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 21:20 UTC

[StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Basilisk (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-basilisk-factory-new) Hidden $2.39 3.67 gems $17.44 26.83 gems 7.31x 2026-11-11 21:20 UTC

[Nova | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-sand-dune-minimal-wear) Hidden $2.39 3.67 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 21:20 UTC

[StatTrak™ AK-47 | Asiimov (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-asiimov-field-tested) Hidden $2.39 3.67 gems $32.95 50.69 gems 13.81x 2026-11-11 21:20 UTC

[Nova | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-sand-dune-minimal-wear) Hidden $2.39 3.67 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 21:20 UTC

[Nova | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-sand-dune-minimal-wear) [Kaqboah 420 Peek](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Kaqboah%20420%20Peek) $2.39 3.67 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 21:20 UTC

[Nova | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-sand-dune-minimal-wear) Hidden $2.39 3.67 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 21:18 UTC

[StatTrak™ AK-47 | Asiimov (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-asiimov-field-tested) Hidden $2.39 3.67 gems $32.95 50.69 gems 13.81x 2026-11-11 21:18 UTC

[Nova | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-sand-dune-minimal-wear) Hidden $2.39 3.67 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 21:18 UTC

[AK-47 | Orbit Mk01 (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-orbit-mk01-field-tested) Hidden $2.39 3.67 gems $6.68 10.27 gems 2.80x 2026-11-11 21:18 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 103.4% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $103.40 on average: an expected loss of $0.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
