--- title: "10% Insane Odds case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "10% Insane Odds ($4.55) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 41.42% over 149 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/10percent-insane-odds rendered: 2026-11-11T22:28Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [10% Insane Odds](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/10percent-insane-odds) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · 10% Insane Odds A case on Clash.gg, first seen 4 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/10percent-insane-odds?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/10percent-insane-odds?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/10percent-insane-odds) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/10percent-insane-odds?window=all) Price · $4.55 · 7 gems Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 41.42% · 149 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 54 openings · below min 7 days · 143 openings · below min 30 days · 149 openings · below min since tracking started · 149 openings · below min -0.5% 42.0% 84.5% **Small sample.** 149 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/10percent-insane-odds?window=24h) | 54 | 41.82% ±41.9 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/10percent-insane-odds?window=7d) | 143 | 42.69% ±27.5 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/10percent-insane-odds) | 149 | 41.42% ±26.4 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/10percent-insane-odds?window=all) | 149 | 41.42% ±26.4 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Clash.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=10percent-insane-odds) [M249 | Midnight Palm (Factory New) weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-midnight-palm-factory-new) Hidden $4.55 7 gems $0.51 0.79 gems 0.11x 2026-11-11 21:52 UTC [M249 | Midnight Palm (Factory New) weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-midnight-palm-factory-new) Hidden $4.55 7 gems $0.51 0.79 gems 0.11x 2026-11-11 21:52 UTC [M249 | Midnight Palm (Factory New) weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-midnight-palm-factory-new) Hidden $4.55 7 gems $0.51 0.79 gems 0.11x 2026-11-11 21:52 UTC [M249 | Midnight Palm (Factory New) weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-midnight-palm-factory-new) [Sudainais](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Sudainais) $4.55 7 gems $0.51 0.79 gems 0.11x 2026-11-11 21:52 UTC [M249 | Midnight Palm (Factory New) weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-midnight-palm-factory-new) Hidden $4.55 7 gems $0.51 0.79 gems 0.11x 2026-11-11 21:52 UTC [M249 | Midnight Palm (Factory New) weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-midnight-palm-factory-new) Hidden $4.55 7 gems $0.51 0.79 gems 0.11x 2026-11-11 21:52 UTC [M249 | Midnight Palm (Factory New) weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-midnight-palm-factory-new) Hidden $4.55 7 gems $0.51 0.79 gems 0.11x 2026-11-11 21:52 UTC [USP-S | Kill Confirmed (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-kill-confirmed-minimal-wear) [Sudainais](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Sudainais) $4.55 7 gems $38.03 58.5 gems 8.36x 2026-11-11 21:52 UTC [M249 | Midnight Palm (Factory New) weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-midnight-palm-factory-new) Hidden $4.55 7 gems $0.51 0.79 gems 0.11x 2026-11-11 21:40 UTC [M249 | Midnight Palm (Factory New) weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-midnight-palm-factory-new) Hidden $4.55 7 gems $0.51 0.79 gems 0.11x 2026-11-11 21:40 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 41.4% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $41.42 on average: an expected loss of $58.58 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt