--- title: "10% Jeweler case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "10% Jeweler ($745.90) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 6 items with odds, observed 90.63% over 366 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/10percent-jewler rendered: 2026-11-12T03:48Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [10% Jeweler](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/10percent-jewler) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · 10% Jeweler A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/10percent-jewler?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/10percent-jewler?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/10percent-jewler) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/10percent-jewler?window=all) Price · $745.90 · 1,148 gems Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $671.31 from 6 items Observed RTP, 30d · 90.63% · 366 openings, odds method Variance · 5.7× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 17 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 90.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 36 openings · below min 7 days · 93.48% ±27.77 285 openings 30 days · 90.63% ±24.51 366 openings since tracking started · 90.63% ±24.51 366 openings 0.5% 79.5% 158.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/10percent-jewler?window=24h) | 36 | 79.53% ±78.1 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/10percent-jewler?window=7d) | 285 | 93.48% ±27.8 | +0.2σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/10percent-jewler) | 366 | 90.63% ±24.5 | +0.1σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/10percent-jewler?window=all) | 366 | 90.63% ±24.5 | +0.1σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 6 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 372 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Karambit \| Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-emerald) | 1 in 33 | $6,508 10,012 gems | 29.1% | 12 | 11.2 | 1.08× | | [★ Karambit \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-doppler-minimal-wear-ruby) | 1 in 33 | $5,857 9,011 gems | 26.2% | 10 | 11.2 | 0.90× | | [★ Karambit \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-doppler-minimal-wear-sapphire) | 1 in 25 | $5,745 8,838 gems | 34.2% | 15 | 14.9 | 1.01× | | [AK-47 \| Case Hardened (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-case-hardened-factory-new) | 30.0% | $221 340 gems | 9.9% | 105 | 111.6 | 0.94× | | [Five-SeveN \| Case Hardened (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-case-hardened-factory-new) | 30.0% | $12.26 18.86 gems | 0.5% | 116 | 111.6 | 1.04× | | [Sticker \| Blue Gem (Glitter) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-blue-gem-glitter) | 30.0% | $1.74 2.67 gems | 0.1% | 114 | 111.6 | 1.02× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 12 Nov, 00:07 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Karambit | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-emerald) Hidden $746 1,148 gems $6,508 10,012 gems 8.72x 2026-11-11 09:53 UTC [★ Karambit | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-emerald) Hidden $746 1,148 gems $6,508 10,012 gems 8.72x 2026-11-10 09:59 UTC [★ Karambit | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-emerald) Hidden $746 1,148 gems $6,508 10,012 gems 8.72x 2026-11-08 17:44 UTC [★ Karambit | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-emerald) Hidden $746 1,148 gems $6,508 10,012 gems 8.72x 2026-11-07 01:14 UTC [★ Karambit | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-emerald) Hidden $746 1,148 gems $6,508 10,012 gems 8.72x 2026-11-07 01:13 UTC [★ Karambit | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-emerald) Hidden $746 1,148 gems $6,508 10,012 gems 8.72x 2026-11-07 01:11 UTC [★ Karambit | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-emerald) Hidden $746 1,148 gems $6,508 10,012 gems 8.72x 2026-11-05 15:32 UTC [★ Karambit | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-emerald) [GdZ](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/GdZ) $746 1,148 gems $6,508 10,012 gems 8.72x 2026-11-05 13:13 UTC [★ Karambit | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-emerald) Hidden $746 1,148 gems $6,508 10,012 gems 8.72x 2026-11-05 13:09 UTC [★ Karambit | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-emerald) Hidden $746 1,148 gems $6,508 10,012 gems 8.72x 2026-11-03 22:25 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=10percent-jewler) [Sticker | Blue Gem (Glitter) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-blue-gem-glitter) Hidden $746 1,148 gems $1.74 2.67 gems 0.00x 2026-11-12 00:59 UTC [AK-47 | Case Hardened (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-case-hardened-factory-new) Hidden $746 1,148 gems $221 340 gems 0.30x 2026-11-12 00:59 UTC [★ Karambit | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-doppler-minimal-wear-ruby) Hidden $746 1,148 gems $5,857 9,011 gems 7.85x 2026-11-12 00:59 UTC [Five-SeveN | Case Hardened (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-case-hardened-factory-new) Hidden $746 1,148 gems $12.26 18.86 gems 0.02x 2026-11-12 00:59 UTC [Sticker | Blue Gem (Glitter) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-blue-gem-glitter) Hidden $746 1,148 gems $1.74 2.67 gems 0.00x 2026-11-12 00:59 UTC [AK-47 | Case Hardened (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-case-hardened-factory-new) [jurassicpeek](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/jurassicpeek) $746 1,148 gems $221 340 gems 0.30x 2026-11-12 00:59 UTC [Sticker | Blue Gem (Glitter) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-blue-gem-glitter) Hidden $746 1,148 gems $1.74 2.67 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 15:55 UTC [Sticker | Blue Gem (Glitter) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-blue-gem-glitter) Hidden $746 1,148 gems $1.74 2.67 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 15:55 UTC [Sticker | Blue Gem (Glitter) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-blue-gem-glitter) Hidden $746 1,148 gems $1.74 2.67 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 15:55 UTC [Five-SeveN | Case Hardened (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-case-hardened-factory-new) Hidden $746 1,148 gems $12.26 18.86 gems 0.02x 2026-11-11 15:55 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 01:59 UTC | $746 | 90.00% | 6 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 10.0% classified 30.0% restricted 30.0% remarkable 30.0% best hit $6,508 (8.72x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt