--- title: "10% Katowice case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "10% Katowice ($1,397.45) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 11 items with odds, observed 97.16% over 414 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/10percent-katowice rendered: 2026-11-11T21:45Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [10% Katowice](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/10percent-katowice) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · 10% Katowice A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/10percent-katowice?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/10percent-katowice?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/10percent-katowice) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/10percent-katowice?window=all) Price · $1,397.45 · 2,150 gems Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $1,257.69 from 11 items Observed RTP, 30d · 97.16% · 414 openings, odds method Variance · 12.8× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 33 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 90.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 30 openings · below min 7 days · 82.26% ±37.63 348 openings 30 days · 97.16% ±34.50 414 openings since tracking started · 97.16% ±34.50 414 openings -0.5% 68.0% 136.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/10percent-katowice?window=24h) | 30 | 7.88% ±128.1 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/10percent-katowice?window=7d) | 348 | 82.26% ±37.6 | −0.4σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/10percent-katowice) | 414 | 97.16% ±34.5 | +0.4σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/10percent-katowice?window=all) | 414 | 97.16% ±34.5 | +0.4σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 11 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 414 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Sticker \| Titan (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-titan-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 100 | $34.1K 52,490 gems | 27.1% | 2 | 4.1 | 0.48× | | [Sticker \| Reason Gaming (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-reason-gaming-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 100 | $26K 40,000 gems | 20.7% | 6 | 4.1 | 1.45× | | [Sticker \| Team Dignitas (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-team-dignitas-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 100 | $18.4K 28,238 gems | 14.6% | 6 | 4.1 | 1.45× | | [Sticker \| Vox Eminor (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-vox-eminor-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 100 | $15.7K 24,100 gems | 12.5% | 4 | 4.1 | 0.97× | | [Sticker \| Team LDLC.com (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-team-ldlc-com-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 100 | $12.2K 18,700 gems | 9.7% | 8 | 4.1 | 1.93× | | [Sticker \| Natus Vincere (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-natus-vincere-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 100 | $7,238 11,135 gems | 5.8% | 2 | 4.1 | 0.48× | | [Sticker \| LGB eSports (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-lgb-esports-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 100 | $4,500 6,923 gems | 3.6% | 4 | 4.1 | 0.97× | | [Sticker \| Virtus.Pro (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-virtus-pro-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 100 | $3,243 4,989 gems | 2.6% | 8 | 4.1 | 1.93× | | [Sticker \| 3DMAX (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-3dmax-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 100 | $2,385 3,670 gems | 1.9% | 2 | 4.1 | 0.48× | | [Sticker \| Ninjas in Pyjamas (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ninjas-in-pyjamas-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 100 | $1,917 2,949 gems | 1.5% | 2 | 4.1 | 0.48× | | [MAC-10 \| Indigo (Minimal Wear) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-indigo-minimal-wear) | 90.0% | $2.15 3.31 gems | 0.2% | 370 | 372.6 | 0.99× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 17:55 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Sticker | Titan (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-titan-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $1,397 2,150 gems $34.1K 52,490 gems 24.41x 2026-11-09 11:06 UTC [Sticker | Titan (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-titan-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $1,397 2,150 gems $34.1K 52,490 gems 24.41x 2026-11-03 05:23 UTC [Sticker | Reason Gaming (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-reason-gaming-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $1,397 2,150 gems $26K 40,000 gems 18.61x 2026-11-10 19:44 UTC [Sticker | Reason Gaming (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-reason-gaming-holo-katowice-2014) [CODE SEXYBOOM / 20K LB](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/CODE%20SEXYBOOM%20%2F%2020K%20LB) $1,397 2,150 gems $26K 40,000 gems 18.61x 2026-11-08 20:54 UTC [Sticker | Reason Gaming (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-reason-gaming-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $1,397 2,150 gems $26K 40,000 gems 18.61x 2026-11-05 19:44 UTC [Sticker | Reason Gaming (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-reason-gaming-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $1,397 2,150 gems $26K 40,000 gems 18.61x 2026-11-05 13:04 UTC [Sticker | Reason Gaming (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-reason-gaming-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $1,397 2,150 gems $26K 40,000 gems 18.61x 2026-11-04 14:45 UTC [Sticker | Reason Gaming (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-reason-gaming-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $1,397 2,150 gems $26K 40,000 gems 18.61x 2026-11-03 17:30 UTC [Sticker | Team Dignitas (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-team-dignitas-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $1,397 2,150 gems $18.4K 28,238 gems 13.13x 2026-11-10 19:45 UTC [Sticker | Team Dignitas (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-team-dignitas-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $1,397 2,150 gems $18.4K 28,238 gems 13.13x 2026-11-08 13:34 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=10percent-katowice) [MAC-10 | Indigo (Minimal Wear) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-indigo-minimal-wear) Hidden $1,397 2,150 gems $2.15 3.31 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 19:35 UTC [MAC-10 | Indigo (Minimal Wear) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-indigo-minimal-wear) Hidden $1,397 2,150 gems $2.15 3.31 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 19:35 UTC [MAC-10 | Indigo (Minimal Wear) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-indigo-minimal-wear) Hidden $1,397 2,150 gems $2.15 3.31 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 19:35 UTC [MAC-10 | Indigo (Minimal Wear) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-indigo-minimal-wear) Hidden $1,397 2,150 gems $2.15 3.31 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 19:35 UTC [MAC-10 | Indigo (Minimal Wear) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-indigo-minimal-wear) [$12K LB Wasted.bet](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/%2412K%20LB%20Wasted.bet) $1,397 2,150 gems $2.15 3.31 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 19:35 UTC [MAC-10 | Indigo (Minimal Wear) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-indigo-minimal-wear) [KICK/JUSTSAN666](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/KICK%2FJUSTSAN666) $1,397 2,150 gems $2.15 3.31 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 19:35 UTC [MAC-10 | Indigo (Minimal Wear) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-indigo-minimal-wear) Hidden $1,397 2,150 gems $2.15 3.31 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 15:56 UTC [MAC-10 | Indigo (Minimal Wear) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-indigo-minimal-wear) Hidden $1,397 2,150 gems $2.15 3.31 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 15:56 UTC [MAC-10 | Indigo (Minimal Wear) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-indigo-minimal-wear) Hidden $1,397 2,150 gems $2.15 3.31 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 15:56 UTC [MAC-10 | Indigo (Minimal Wear) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-indigo-minimal-wear) Hidden $1,397 2,150 gems $2.15 3.31 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 15:56 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $1,397 | 90.00% | 11 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed legendary 3.0% remarkable 7.0% Consumer Grade 90.0% best hit $34.1K (24.41x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt