--- title: "10% KnifesGuaranteed case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "10% KnifesGuaranteed ($32.41) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 87.36% over 18 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/10percent-knifesguaranteed rendered: 2026-11-12T08:48Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [10% KnifesGuaranteed](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/10percent-knifesguaranteed) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · 10% KnifesGuaranteed A case on Clash.gg, first seen 9 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/10percent-knifesguaranteed?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/10percent-knifesguaranteed?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/10percent-knifesguaranteed) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/10percent-knifesguaranteed?window=all) Price · $32.41 · 49.86 gems Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 87.36% · 18 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 7 days · 18 openings · below min 30 days · 18 openings · below min since tracking started · 18 openings · below min -0.5% 105.8% 212.0% **Small sample.** 18 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/10percent-knifesguaranteed?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/10percent-knifesguaranteed?window=7d) | 18 | 87.36% ±123.9 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/10percent-knifesguaranteed) | 18 | 87.36% ±123.9 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/10percent-knifesguaranteed?window=all) | 18 | 87.36% ±123.9 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Clash.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=10percent-knifesguaranteed) [Galil AR | Signal (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-signal-factory-new) Hidden $32.41 49.86 gems $0.80 1.23 gems 0.02x 2026-11-09 05:57 UTC [Galil AR | Signal (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-signal-factory-new) Hidden $32.41 49.86 gems $0.80 1.23 gems 0.02x 2026-11-09 05:57 UTC [Galil AR | Signal (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-signal-factory-new) Hidden $32.41 49.86 gems $0.80 1.23 gems 0.02x 2026-11-09 05:57 UTC [Galil AR | Signal (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-signal-factory-new) Hidden $32.41 49.86 gems $0.80 1.23 gems 0.02x 2026-11-09 05:57 UTC [Galil AR | Signal (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-signal-factory-new) Hidden $32.41 49.86 gems $0.80 1.23 gems 0.02x 2026-11-09 05:57 UTC [Galil AR | Signal (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-signal-factory-new) [Deuzzwoo](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Deuzzwoo) $32.41 49.86 gems $0.80 1.23 gems 0.02x 2026-11-09 05:57 UTC [Galil AR | Signal (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-signal-factory-new) Hidden $32.41 49.86 gems $0.80 1.23 gems 0.02x 2026-11-09 05:57 UTC [Galil AR | Signal (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-signal-factory-new) Hidden $32.41 49.86 gems $0.80 1.23 gems 0.02x 2026-11-09 05:57 UTC [★ Huntsman Knife | Stained (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-stained-factory-new) Hidden $32.41 49.86 gems $150 231 gems 4.63x 2026-11-09 05:57 UTC [Galil AR | Signal (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-signal-factory-new) Hidden $32.41 49.86 gems $0.80 1.23 gems 0.02x 2026-11-09 05:57 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 87.4% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $87.36 on average: an expected loss of $12.64 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt