--- title: "10% Maybe Today case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "10% Maybe Today ($12.35) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 97.69% over 406 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/10percent-maybe-today rendered: 2026-11-11T21:54Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [10% Maybe Today](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/10percent-maybe-today) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · 10% Maybe Today A case on Clash.gg, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/10percent-maybe-today?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/10percent-maybe-today?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/10percent-maybe-today) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/10percent-maybe-today?window=all) Price · $12.35 · 19 gems Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 97.69% · 406 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 70 openings · below min 7 days · 394 openings · below min 30 days · 406 openings · below min since tracking started · 406 openings · below min 34.5% 98.5% 162.5% **Small sample.** 406 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/10percent-maybe-today?window=24h) | 70 | 98.57% ±63.2 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/10percent-maybe-today?window=7d) | 394 | 88.05% ±33.3 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/10percent-maybe-today) | 406 | 97.69% ±37.1 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/10percent-maybe-today?window=all) | 406 | 97.69% ±37.1 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Clash.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=10percent-maybe-today) [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $12.35 19 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 01:14 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $12.35 19 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 01:14 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $12.35 19 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 01:14 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) [LONEWOLF182](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/LONEWOLF182) $12.35 19 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 01:14 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $12.35 19 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 01:13 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $12.35 19 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 01:13 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $12.35 19 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 01:13 UTC [★ Shadow Daggers | Stained (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-stained-minimal-wear) [LONEWOLF182](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/LONEWOLF182) $12.35 19 gems $71.81 110 gems 5.81x 2026-11-11 01:13 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $12.35 19 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 01:13 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $12.35 19 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 01:13 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 97.7% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $97.69 on average: an expected loss of $2.31 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt