--- title: "10% Snowball case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "10% Snowball ($0.90) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.77% from 6 items with odds, observed 90.29% over 46.4K openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/10percent-snowball rendered: 2026-11-11T21:08Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [10% Snowball](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/10percent-snowball) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · 10% Snowball A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/10percent-snowball?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/10percent-snowball?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/10percent-snowball) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/10percent-snowball?window=all) Price · $0.90 · 1.39 gems Advertised RTP · 89.77% · EV $0.81 from 6 items Observed RTP, 30d · 90.29% · 46.4K openings, odds method Variance · 146.9× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 33 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 90.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 96.37% ±33.09 5,154 openings 7 days · 90.54% ±12.17 38.1K openings 30 days · 90.29% ±11.02 46.4K openings since tracking started · 90.29% ±11.02 46.4K openings 62.5% 96.3% 130.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/10percent-snowball?window=24h) | 5,154 | 96.37% ±33.1 | +0.4σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/10percent-snowball?window=7d) | 38.1K | 90.54% ±12.2 | +0.1σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/10percent-snowball) | 46.4K | 90.29% ±11.0 | +0.1σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/10percent-snowball?window=all) | 46.4K | 90.29% ±11.0 | +0.1σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 6 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 47.4K openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Driver Gloves \| Snow Leopard (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-snow-leopard-well-worn) | 1 in 1,000 | $344 530 gems | 42.5% | 47 | 47.4 | 0.99× | | [AK-47 \| Ice Coaled (Well-Worn) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-ice-coaled-well-worn) | 1 in 34 | $7.91 12.17 gems | 28.3% | 1,363 | 1374.9 | 0.99× | | [Galil AR \| Winter Forest (Well-Worn) weapon · #5E98D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-winter-forest-well-worn) | 1 in 33 | $1.93 2.97 gems | 7.1% | 1,440 | 1422.3 | 1.01× | | [Galil AR \| Stone Cold (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-stone-cold-well-worn) | 1 in 25 | $0.90 1.39 gems | 4.5% | 1,991 | 1896.4 | 1.05× | | [Tec-9 \| Ice Cap (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-ice-cap-minimal-wear) | 45.0% | $0.24 0.37 gems | 13.3% | 21,506 | 21334.7 | 1.01× | | [Glock-18 \| Winterized (Well-Worn) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-winterized-well-worn) | 45.0% | $0.08 0.12 gems | 4.3% | 21,064 | 21335.2 | 0.99× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 17:55 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Driver Gloves | Snow Leopard (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-snow-leopard-well-worn) Hidden $0.90 1.39 gems $344 530 gems 381.1x 2026-11-11 20:11 UTC [★ Driver Gloves | Snow Leopard (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-snow-leopard-well-worn) Hidden $0.90 1.39 gems $344 530 gems 381.1x 2026-11-11 20:00 UTC [★ Driver Gloves | Snow Leopard (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-snow-leopard-well-worn) [ｓｔａｙ ᵀʳⁱᵖᵖʸ](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/%EF%BD%93%EF%BD%94%EF%BD%81%EF%BD%99%20%E1%B5%80%CA%B3%E2%81%B1%E1%B5%96%E1%B5%96%CA%B8) $0.90 1.39 gems $344 530 gems 381.1x 2026-11-11 09:46 UTC [★ Driver Gloves | Snow Leopard (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-snow-leopard-well-worn) Hidden $0.90 1.39 gems $344 530 gems 381.1x 2026-11-11 03:48 UTC [★ Driver Gloves | Snow Leopard (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-snow-leopard-well-worn) Hidden $0.90 1.39 gems $344 530 gems 381.1x 2026-11-11 03:24 UTC [★ Driver Gloves | Snow Leopard (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-snow-leopard-well-worn) [West Side Dog](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/West%20Side%20Dog) $0.90 1.39 gems $344 530 gems 381.1x 2026-11-11 03:10 UTC [★ Driver Gloves | Snow Leopard (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-snow-leopard-well-worn) Hidden $0.90 1.39 gems $344 530 gems 381.1x 2026-11-10 02:50 UTC [★ Driver Gloves | Snow Leopard (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-snow-leopard-well-worn) Hidden $0.90 1.39 gems $344 530 gems 381.1x 2026-11-10 00:45 UTC [★ Driver Gloves | Snow Leopard (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-snow-leopard-well-worn) Hidden $0.90 1.39 gems $344 530 gems 381.1x 2026-11-09 21:24 UTC [★ Driver Gloves | Snow Leopard (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-snow-leopard-well-worn) Hidden $0.90 1.39 gems $344 530 gems 381.1x 2026-11-09 21:09 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=10percent-snowball) [Glock-18 | Winterized (Well-Worn) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-winterized-well-worn) Hidden $0.90 1.39 gems $0.08 0.12 gems 0.09x 2026-11-11 21:02 UTC [Tec-9 | Ice Cap (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-ice-cap-minimal-wear) Hidden $0.90 1.39 gems $0.24 0.37 gems 0.27x 2026-11-11 21:02 UTC [Glock-18 | Winterized (Well-Worn) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-winterized-well-worn) Hidden $0.90 1.39 gems $0.08 0.12 gems 0.09x 2026-11-11 21:01 UTC [Glock-18 | Winterized (Well-Worn) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-winterized-well-worn) Hidden $0.90 1.39 gems $0.08 0.12 gems 0.09x 2026-11-11 21:01 UTC [Glock-18 | Winterized (Well-Worn) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-winterized-well-worn) Hidden $0.90 1.39 gems $0.08 0.12 gems 0.09x 2026-11-11 21:00 UTC [Tec-9 | Ice Cap (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-ice-cap-minimal-wear) Hidden $0.90 1.39 gems $0.24 0.37 gems 0.27x 2026-11-11 21:00 UTC [AK-47 | Ice Coaled (Well-Worn) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-ice-coaled-well-worn) Hidden $0.90 1.39 gems $7.91 12.17 gems 8.76x 2026-11-11 20:58 UTC [Glock-18 | Winterized (Well-Worn) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-winterized-well-worn) Hidden $0.90 1.39 gems $0.08 0.12 gems 0.09x 2026-11-11 20:58 UTC [Glock-18 | Winterized (Well-Worn) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-winterized-well-worn) Hidden $0.90 1.39 gems $0.08 0.12 gems 0.09x 2026-11-11 20:58 UTC [Glock-18 | Winterized (Well-Worn) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-winterized-well-worn) Hidden $0.90 1.39 gems $0.08 0.12 gems 0.09x 2026-11-11 20:57 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $0.90 | 89.77% | 6 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed extraordinary 0.1% Classified 2.9% #5E98D9 3.0% violet 4.0% Rare 45.0% milspec 45.0% best hit $344 (381.1x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.8% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.77 on average: an expected loss of $10.23 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt