--- title: "15% Blue Sea Luck case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "15% Blue Sea Luck ($16.20) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 36.85% over 18 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/15percent-blue-sea-luck rendered: 2026-11-13T00:50Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [15% Blue Sea Luck](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/15percent-blue-sea-luck) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · 15% Blue Sea Luck A case on Clash.gg, first seen 7 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/15percent-blue-sea-luck?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/15percent-blue-sea-luck?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/15percent-blue-sea-luck) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/15percent-blue-sea-luck?window=all) Price · $16.20 · 24.92 gems Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 36.85% · 18 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 6 openings · below min 7 days · 18 openings · below min 30 days · 18 openings · below min since tracking started · 18 openings · below min -0.5% 65.8% 132.0% **Small sample.** 18 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/15percent-blue-sea-luck?window=24h) | 6 | 44.36% ±86.9 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/15percent-blue-sea-luck?window=7d) | 18 | 36.85% ±50.6 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/15percent-blue-sea-luck) | 18 | 36.85% ±50.6 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/15percent-blue-sea-luck?window=all) | 18 | 36.85% ±50.6 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Clash.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=15percent-blue-sea-luck) [FAMAS | Waters of Nephthys (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-waters-of-nephthys-well-worn) Hidden $16.20 24.92 gems $43.08 66.28 gems 2.66x 2026-11-12 21:45 UTC [MP5-SD | Liquidation (Battle-Scarred) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-liquidation-battle-scarred) Hidden $16.20 24.92 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-12 21:45 UTC [MP5-SD | Liquidation (Battle-Scarred) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-liquidation-battle-scarred) [Morgen Gelben](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Morgen%20Gelben) $16.20 24.92 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-12 21:45 UTC [MP5-SD | Liquidation (Battle-Scarred) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-liquidation-battle-scarred) Hidden $16.20 24.92 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-12 21:45 UTC [MP5-SD | Liquidation (Battle-Scarred) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-liquidation-battle-scarred) Hidden $16.20 24.92 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-12 21:45 UTC [MP5-SD | Liquidation (Battle-Scarred) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-liquidation-battle-scarred) [Morgen Gelben](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Morgen%20Gelben) $16.20 24.92 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-12 21:45 UTC [MP5-SD | Liquidation (Battle-Scarred) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-liquidation-battle-scarred) Hidden $16.20 24.92 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 00:10 UTC [MP5-SD | Liquidation (Battle-Scarred) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-liquidation-battle-scarred) Hidden $16.20 24.92 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 00:10 UTC [MP5-SD | Liquidation (Battle-Scarred) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-liquidation-battle-scarred) Hidden $16.20 24.92 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 00:10 UTC [MP5-SD | Liquidation (Battle-Scarred) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-liquidation-battle-scarred) Hidden $16.20 24.92 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 00:10 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 36.8% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $36.85 on average: an expected loss of $63.15 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt