--- title: "15% LOTTERY CASE case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "15% LOTTERY CASE ($3.25) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 123.98% over 1,188 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/15percent-lottery-case rendered: 2026-11-12T05:49Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [15% LOTTERY CASE](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/15percent-lottery-case) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · 15% LOTTERY CASE A case on Clash.gg, first seen 9 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/15percent-lottery-case?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/15percent-lottery-case?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/15percent-lottery-case) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/15percent-lottery-case?window=all) Price · $3.25 · 5 gems Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 123.98% · 1,188 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 7 days · 123.98% ±52.61 1,188 openings 30 days · 123.98% ±52.61 1,188 openings since tracking started · 123.98% ±52.61 1,188 openings 70.5% 123.8% 177.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/15percent-lottery-case?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/15percent-lottery-case?window=7d) | 1,188 | 123.98% ±52.6 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/15percent-lottery-case) | 1,188 | 123.98% ±52.6 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/15percent-lottery-case?window=all) | 1,188 | 123.98% ±52.6 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Clash.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Butterfly Knife | Damascus Steel (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-damascus-steel-factory-new) Hidden $3.25 5 gems $596 917 gems 183.4x 2026-11-10 16:18 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Damascus Steel (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-damascus-steel-factory-new) Hidden $3.25 5 gems $596 917 gems 183.4x 2026-11-10 16:02 UTC [M4A1-S | Hot Rod (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hot-rod-factory-new) Hidden $3.25 5 gems $440 677 gems 135.4x 2026-11-10 16:06 UTC [★ Classic Knife knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/classic-knife) [Läämä](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/L%C3%A4%C3%A4m%C3%A4) $3.25 5 gems $223 343 gems 68.60x 2026-11-10 16:58 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=15percent-lottery-case) [SSG 08 | Turbo Peek (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-turbo-peek-factory-new) Hidden $3.25 5 gems $8.61 13.25 gems 2.65x 2026-11-11 03:03 UTC [Sticker | rain (Champion) | Antwerp 2022 sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-rain-champion-antwerp-2022) Hidden $3.25 5 gems $0.01 0.02 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 03:03 UTC [Sticker | rain (Champion) | Antwerp 2022 sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-rain-champion-antwerp-2022) Hidden $3.25 5 gems $0.01 0.02 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 03:03 UTC [Sticker | rain (Champion) | Antwerp 2022 sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-rain-champion-antwerp-2022) [Marty](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Marty) $3.25 5 gems $0.01 0.02 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 03:03 UTC [Sticker | rain (Champion) | Antwerp 2022 sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-rain-champion-antwerp-2022) Hidden $3.25 5 gems $0.01 0.02 gems 0.00x 2026-11-10 17:48 UTC [SSG 08 | Turbo Peek (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-turbo-peek-factory-new) Hidden $3.25 5 gems $8.61 13.25 gems 2.65x 2026-11-10 17:48 UTC [Sticker | rain (Champion) | Antwerp 2022 sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-rain-champion-antwerp-2022) Hidden $3.25 5 gems $0.01 0.02 gems 0.00x 2026-11-10 17:48 UTC [Sticker | rain (Champion) | Antwerp 2022 sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-rain-champion-antwerp-2022) Hidden $3.25 5 gems $0.01 0.02 gems 0.00x 2026-11-10 17:48 UTC [Sticker | rain (Champion) | Antwerp 2022 sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-rain-champion-antwerp-2022) Hidden $3.25 5 gems $0.01 0.02 gems 0.00x 2026-11-10 17:48 UTC [AK-47 | Green Laminate (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-green-laminate-factory-new) [Läämä](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/L%C3%A4%C3%A4m%C3%A4) $3.25 5 gems $6.30 9.69 gems 1.94x 2026-11-10 17:48 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $596 (183.4x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 124.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $123.98 on average: an expected loss of $0.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt