--- title: "15% Roll case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "15% Roll ($8.46) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 82.59% over 204 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/15percent-roll rendered: 2026-11-11T22:46Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [15% Roll](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/15percent-roll) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · 15% Roll A case on Clash.gg, first seen 11 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/15percent-roll?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/15percent-roll?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/15percent-roll) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/15percent-roll?window=all) Price · $8.46 · 13.02 gems Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 82.59% · 204 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 204 openings · below min 7 days · 204 openings · below min 30 days · 204 openings · below min since tracking started · 204 openings · below min 52.0% 82.5% 113.0% **Small sample.** 204 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/15percent-roll?window=24h) | 204 | 82.59% ±29.8 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/15percent-roll?window=7d) | 204 | 82.59% ±29.8 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/15percent-roll) | 204 | 82.59% ±29.8 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/15percent-roll?window=all) | 204 | 82.59% ±29.8 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Clash.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=15percent-roll) [P250 | Exchanger (Battle-Scarred) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-exchanger-battle-scarred) Hidden $8.46 13.02 gems $0.23 0.35 gems 0.03x 2026-11-11 22:24 UTC [P250 | Exchanger (Battle-Scarred) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-exchanger-battle-scarred) Hidden $8.46 13.02 gems $0.23 0.35 gems 0.03x 2026-11-11 22:24 UTC [P250 | Exchanger (Battle-Scarred) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-exchanger-battle-scarred) Hidden $8.46 13.02 gems $0.23 0.35 gems 0.03x 2026-11-11 22:24 UTC [P250 | Exchanger (Battle-Scarred) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-exchanger-battle-scarred) Hidden $8.46 13.02 gems $0.23 0.35 gems 0.03x 2026-11-11 22:24 UTC [SCAR-20 | Fragments (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-fragments-factory-new) Hidden $8.46 13.02 gems $0.58 0.89 gems 0.07x 2026-11-11 22:24 UTC [Desert Eagle | Trigger Discipline (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-trigger-discipline-factory-new) [compl1cated](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/compl1cated) $8.46 13.02 gems $1.11 1.71 gems 0.13x 2026-11-11 22:24 UTC [Desert Eagle | Trigger Discipline (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-trigger-discipline-factory-new) Hidden $8.46 13.02 gems $1.11 1.71 gems 0.13x 2026-11-11 22:19 UTC [USP-S | Monster Mashup (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-monster-mashup-factory-new) Hidden $8.46 13.02 gems $15.98 24.59 gems 1.89x 2026-11-11 22:19 UTC [Desert Eagle | Trigger Discipline (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-trigger-discipline-factory-new) Hidden $8.46 13.02 gems $1.11 1.71 gems 0.13x 2026-11-11 22:19 UTC [P250 | Exchanger (Battle-Scarred) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-exchanger-battle-scarred) Hidden $8.46 13.02 gems $0.23 0.35 gems 0.03x 2026-11-11 22:19 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 82.6% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $82.59 on average: an expected loss of $17.41 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt