--- title: "16% 8wrds case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "16% 8wrds ($19.93) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 77.87% over 84 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/16percent-8wrds rendered: 2026-11-11T22:57Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [16% 8wrds](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/16percent-8wrds) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · 16% 8wrds A case on Clash.gg, first seen 4 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/16percent-8wrds?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/16percent-8wrds?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/16percent-8wrds) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/16percent-8wrds?window=all) Price · $19.93 · 30.66 gems Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 77.87% · 84 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 13 openings · below min 7 days · 66 openings · below min 30 days · 84 openings · below min since tracking started · 84 openings · below min -0.5% 123.0% 246.5% **Small sample.** 84 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/16percent-8wrds?window=24h) | 13 | 110.62% ±135.3 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/16percent-8wrds?window=7d) | 66 | 96.36% ±62.5 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/16percent-8wrds) | 84 | 77.87% ±49.8 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/16percent-8wrds?window=all) | 84 | 77.87% ±49.8 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Clash.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=16percent-8wrds) [MP9 | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $19.93 30.66 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 20:09 UTC [★ Nomad Knife | Forest DDPAT (Field-Tested) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-forest-ddpat-field-tested) Hidden $19.93 30.66 gems $85.48 132 gems 4.29x 2026-11-11 20:09 UTC [P90 | Astral Jörmungandr (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-astral-jormungandr-minimal-wear) Hidden $19.93 30.66 gems $165 254 gems 8.28x 2026-11-11 20:09 UTC [MP9 | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $19.93 30.66 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 20:09 UTC [MP9 | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $19.93 30.66 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 20:09 UTC [M4A4 | Buzz Kill (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-buzz-kill-factory-new) [mummo](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/mummo) $19.93 30.66 gems $36.02 55.42 gems 1.81x 2026-11-11 20:09 UTC [MP9 | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $19.93 30.66 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 10:12 UTC [MP9 | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $19.93 30.66 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 10:12 UTC [MP9 | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $19.93 30.66 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 10:12 UTC [MP9 | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-field-tested) [SIBSIG Tosuko](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/SIBSIG%20Tosuko) $19.93 30.66 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 10:12 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 77.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $77.87 on average: an expected loss of $22.13 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt