---
title: "19% High Change case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "19% High Change ($17.95) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 188.73% over 300 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/19percent-high-change
rendered: 2026-11-12T00:53Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [19% High Change](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/19percent-high-change)

# [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · 19% High Change

A case on Clash.gg, first seen 8 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/19percent-high-change?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/19percent-high-change?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/19percent-high-change) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/19percent-high-change?window=all)

Price · $17.95 · 27.61 gems

Advertised RTP · — · no catalog

Observed RTP, 30d · 188.73% · 300 openings, sample method

Variance · — · needs odds

Tail share · — · needs odds

Below price · — · needs odds

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band outside band small sample

24 hours · 198 openings · below min

7 days · 300 openings · below min

30 days · 300 openings · below min

since tracking started · 300 openings · below min

29.0% 175.3% 321.5%

**Small sample.** 300 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/19percent-high-change?window=24h) | 198 | 151.78% ±122.1 | — | sample |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/19percent-high-change?window=7d) | 300 | 188.73% ±132.0 | — | sample |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/19percent-high-change) | 300 | 188.73% ±132.0 | — | sample |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/19percent-high-change?window=all) | 300 | 188.73% ±132.0 | — | sample |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · none published

**No catalog** Clash.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.

Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-fade-factory-new) Hidden $17.95 27.61 gems $2,045 3,147 gems 114.0x 2026-11-11 19:35 UTC

[★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-fade-factory-new) Hidden $17.95 27.61 gems $2,045 3,147 gems 114.0x 2026-11-08 19:59 UTC

[★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-fade-factory-new) Hidden $17.95 27.61 gems $2,045 3,147 gems 114.0x 2026-11-08 19:34 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=19percent-high-change)

[Sticker | Mastermind sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-mastermind) Hidden $17.95 27.61 gems $0.07 0.1 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 20:46 UTC

[Paris 2023 Challengers Sticker Capsule container · base](https://gambatracker.com/items/paris-2023-challengers-sticker-capsule) Hidden $17.95 27.61 gems $0.06 0.09 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 20:46 UTC

[AWP | Safari Mesh (Well-Worn) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-safari-mesh-well-worn) Hidden $17.95 27.61 gems $0.07 0.11 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 20:46 UTC

[AWP | Safari Mesh (Well-Worn) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-safari-mesh-well-worn) Hidden $17.95 27.61 gems $0.07 0.11 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 20:46 UTC

[Sticker | Mastermind sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-mastermind) Hidden $17.95 27.61 gems $0.07 0.1 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 20:46 UTC

[Sticker | Mastermind sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-mastermind) [Fake Z.Ibrahimovic](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Fake%20Z.Ibrahimovic) $17.95 27.61 gems $0.07 0.1 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 20:46 UTC

[Paris 2023 Challengers Sticker Capsule container · base](https://gambatracker.com/items/paris-2023-challengers-sticker-capsule) Hidden $17.95 27.61 gems $0.06 0.09 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 20:46 UTC

[Sticker | Dragon Tale sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-dragon-tale) Hidden $17.95 27.61 gems $0.05 0.07 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 20:46 UTC

[Sticker | Dragon Tale sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-dragon-tale) Hidden $17.95 27.61 gems $0.05 0.07 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 20:46 UTC

[Paris 2023 Challengers Sticker Capsule container · base](https://gambatracker.com/items/paris-2023-challengers-sticker-capsule) Hidden $17.95 27.61 gems $0.06 0.09 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 20:46 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed best hit $2,045 (114.0x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 188.7% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $188.73 on average: an expected loss of $0.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
