--- title: "1% DLore case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "1% DLore ($99.31) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 5 items with odds, observed 125.47% over 1,291 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/1percent-dlore rendered: 2026-11-11T19:30Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [1% DLore](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/1percent-dlore) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · 1% DLore A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/1percent-dlore?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/1percent-dlore?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/1percent-dlore) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/1percent-dlore?window=all) Price · $99.31 · 153 gems Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $89.38 from 5 items Observed RTP, 30d · 125.47% · 1,291 openings, odds method Variance · 80.1× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 100 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 99.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 120 openings · below min 7 days · 122.38% ±52.83 1,103 openings 30 days · 125.47% ±48.83 1,291 openings since tracking started · 125.47% ±48.83 1,291 openings -0.5% 155.3% 311.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/1percent-dlore?window=24h) | 120 | 149.98% ±160.2 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/1percent-dlore?window=7d) | 1,103 | 122.38% ±52.8 | +1.2σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/1percent-dlore) | 1,291 | 125.47% ±48.8 | +1.4σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/1percent-dlore?window=all) | 1,291 | 125.47% ±48.8 | +1.4σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 5 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,403 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AWP \| Dragon Lore (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $8,936 13,748 gems | 100.0% | 18 | 14.0 | 1.28× | | [P250 \| Valence (Well-Worn) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-valence-well-worn) | 24.0% | $0.04 0.06 gems | 0.0% | 347 | 336.7 | 1.03× | | [Nova \| Sand Dune (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-sand-dune-field-tested) | 25.0% | $0.02 0.03 gems | 0.0% | 336 | 350.7 | 0.96× | | [Tec-9 \| Urban DDPAT (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-urban-ddpat-field-tested) | 25.0% | $0.02 0.03 gems | 0.0% | 351 | 350.7 | 1.00× | | [P250 \| Sand Dune (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-field-tested) | 25.0% | \<$0.01 0.01 gems | 0.0% | 351 | 350.8 | 1.00× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 17:55 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [AWP | Dragon Lore (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-field-tested) Hidden $99.31 153 gems $8,936 13,748 gems 89.98x 2026-11-11 00:27 UTC [AWP | Dragon Lore (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-field-tested) Hidden $99.31 153 gems $8,936 13,748 gems 89.98x 2026-11-11 00:12 UTC [AWP | Dragon Lore (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-field-tested) Hidden $99.31 153 gems $8,936 13,748 gems 89.98x 2026-11-10 14:37 UTC [AWP | Dragon Lore (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-field-tested) [MpiXelss](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/MpiXelss) $99.31 153 gems $8,936 13,748 gems 89.98x 2026-11-10 14:33 UTC [AWP | Dragon Lore (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-field-tested) Hidden $99.31 153 gems $8,936 13,748 gems 89.98x 2026-11-10 11:04 UTC [AWP | Dragon Lore (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-field-tested) Hidden $99.31 153 gems $8,936 13,748 gems 89.98x 2026-11-10 08:23 UTC [AWP | Dragon Lore (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-field-tested) Hidden $99.31 153 gems $8,936 13,748 gems 89.98x 2026-11-09 11:24 UTC [AWP | Dragon Lore (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-field-tested) Hidden $99.31 153 gems $8,936 13,748 gems 89.98x 2026-11-08 19:50 UTC [AWP | Dragon Lore (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-field-tested) [MpiXelss](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/MpiXelss) $99.31 153 gems $8,936 13,748 gems 89.98x 2026-11-08 19:45 UTC [AWP | Dragon Lore (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-field-tested) Hidden $99.31 153 gems $8,936 13,748 gems 89.98x 2026-11-07 23:43 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=1percent-dlore) [Nova | Sand Dune (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-sand-dune-field-tested) Hidden $99.31 153 gems $0.02 0.03 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 18:41 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-field-tested) Hidden $99.31 153 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 18:41 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-field-tested) Hidden $99.31 153 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 18:41 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-field-tested) Hidden $99.31 153 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 18:41 UTC [Tec-9 | Urban DDPAT (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-urban-ddpat-field-tested) Hidden $99.31 153 gems $0.02 0.03 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 18:41 UTC [Nova | Sand Dune (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-sand-dune-field-tested) [MpiXelss](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/MpiXelss) $99.31 153 gems $0.02 0.03 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 18:41 UTC [Nova | Sand Dune (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-sand-dune-field-tested) Hidden $99.31 153 gems $0.02 0.03 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 18:37 UTC [Tec-9 | Urban DDPAT (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-urban-ddpat-field-tested) Hidden $99.31 153 gems $0.02 0.03 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 18:37 UTC [P250 | Valence (Well-Worn) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-valence-well-worn) Hidden $99.31 153 gems $0.04 0.06 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 18:37 UTC [Nova | Sand Dune (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-sand-dune-field-tested) Hidden $99.31 153 gems $0.02 0.03 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 18:37 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $99.31 | 90.00% | 5 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 1.0% blue 24.0% consumer 75.0% best hit $8,936 (89.98x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt