--- title: "1% Tigress case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "1% Tigress ($6.03) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.99% from 17 items with odds, observed 84.44% over 7,171 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/1percent-tigress rendered: 2026-11-12T00:52Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [1% Tigress](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/1percent-tigress) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · 1% Tigress A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/1percent-tigress?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/1percent-tigress?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/1percent-tigress) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/1percent-tigress?window=all) Price · $6.03 · 9.28 gems Advertised RTP · 89.99% · EV $5.43 from 17 items Observed RTP, 30d · 84.44% · 7,171 openings, odds method Variance · 29.1× · of price², per opening Tail share · 11.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 89.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 70.03% ±39.12 730 openings 7 days · 85.30% ±13.74 5,923 openings 30 days · 84.44% ±12.48 7,171 openings since tracking started · 84.44% ±12.48 7,171 openings 30.5% 70.3% 110.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/1percent-tigress?window=24h) | 730 | 70.03% ±39.1 | −1.0σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/1percent-tigress?window=7d) | 5,923 | 85.30% ±13.7 | −0.7σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/1percent-tigress) | 7,171 | 84.44% ±12.5 | −0.9σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/1percent-tigress?window=all) | 7,171 | 84.44% ±12.5 | −0.9σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 17 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 7,237 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $1,336 2,055 gems | 2.5% | 2 | 0.7 | — | | [★ Karambit \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 5,000 | $1,080 1,661 gems | 4.0% | 0 | 1.4 | 0.00× | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 5,000 | $789 1,214 gems | 2.9% | 1 | 1.4 | 0.69× | | [★ Talon Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $511 786 gems | 4.7% | 3 | 3.6 | 0.83× | | [★ Skeleton Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $428 658 gems | 3.9% | 2 | 3.6 | 0.55× | | [★ Bayonet \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 1,429 | $323 496 gems | 4.2% | 1 | 5.1 | 0.20× | | [★ Specialist Gloves \| Tiger Strike (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-tiger-strike-field-tested) | 1 in 1,250 | $285 438 gems | 4.2% | 5 | 5.8 | 0.86× | | [★ Flip Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $238 366 gems | 4.4% | 8 | 7.2 | 1.11× | | [★ Ursus Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 769 | $175 270 gems | 4.2% | 9 | 9.4 | 0.96× | | [★ Bowie Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 667 | $152 234 gems | 4.2% | 13 | 10.9 | 1.20× | | [★ Paracord Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 667 | $128 196 gems | 3.5% | 7 | 10.9 | 0.64× | | [★ Survival Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 588 | $119 183 gems | 3.7% | 12 | 12.3 | 0.98× | | [P250 \| Bengal Tiger (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-bengal-tiger-minimal-wear) | 10.0% | $8.00 12.3 gems | 14.7% | 766 | 723.7 | 1.06× | | [AUG \| Bengal Tiger (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-bengal-tiger-field-tested) | 15.0% | $4.29 6.6 gems | 11.9% | 1,089 | 1085.5 | 1.00× | | [M4A1-S \| Blood Tiger (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-blood-tiger-minimal-wear) | 20.0% | $2.50 3.85 gems | 9.2% | 1,438 | 1447.4 | 0.99× | | [USP-S \| Blood Tiger (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-blood-tiger-factory-new) | 20.0% | $2.49 3.83 gems | 9.2% | 1,460 | 1447.4 | 1.01× | | [SG 553 \| Tiger Moth (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-tiger-moth-minimal-wear) | 34.0% | $1.38 2.12 gems | 8.6% | 2,421 | 2460.6 | 0.98× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 12 Nov, 00:07 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Butterfly Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) Hidden $6.03 9.28 gems $1,336 2,055 gems 221.4x 2026-11-07 14:34 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) Hidden $6.03 9.28 gems $1,336 2,055 gems 221.4x 2026-11-06 12:26 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-tiger-tooth-factory-new) Hidden $6.03 9.28 gems $789 1,214 gems 130.9x 2026-11-04 02:48 UTC [★ Talon Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) Hidden $6.03 9.28 gems $511 786 gems 84.69x 2026-11-10 03:51 UTC [★ Talon Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) Hidden $6.03 9.28 gems $511 786 gems 84.69x 2026-11-09 02:06 UTC [★ Talon Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) [k v b a](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/k%20v%20b%20a) $6.03 9.28 gems $511 786 gems 84.69x 2026-11-07 12:07 UTC [★ Skeleton Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) Hidden $6.03 9.28 gems $428 658 gems 70.91x 2026-11-11 03:05 UTC [★ Skeleton Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) Hidden $6.03 9.28 gems $428 658 gems 70.91x 2026-11-05 03:56 UTC [★ Bayonet | Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-tiger-tooth-factory-new) Hidden $6.03 9.28 gems $323 496 gems 53.48x 2026-11-06 16:28 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=1percent-tigress) [AUG | Bengal Tiger (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-bengal-tiger-field-tested) Hidden $6.03 9.28 gems $4.29 6.6 gems 0.71x 2026-11-11 23:29 UTC [P250 | Bengal Tiger (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-bengal-tiger-minimal-wear) Hidden $6.03 9.28 gems $8.00 12.3 gems 1.33x 2026-11-11 23:29 UTC [P250 | Bengal Tiger (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-bengal-tiger-minimal-wear) Hidden $6.03 9.28 gems $8.00 12.3 gems 1.33x 2026-11-11 23:29 UTC [SG 553 | Tiger Moth (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-tiger-moth-minimal-wear) Hidden $6.03 9.28 gems $1.38 2.12 gems 0.23x 2026-11-11 23:29 UTC [SG 553 | Tiger Moth (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-tiger-moth-minimal-wear) Hidden $6.03 9.28 gems $1.38 2.12 gems 0.23x 2026-11-11 23:29 UTC [AUG | Bengal Tiger (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-bengal-tiger-field-tested) [Tuxce](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Tuxce) $6.03 9.28 gems $4.29 6.6 gems 0.71x 2026-11-11 23:29 UTC [SG 553 | Tiger Moth (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-tiger-moth-minimal-wear) Hidden $6.03 9.28 gems $1.38 2.12 gems 0.23x 2026-11-11 23:20 UTC [USP-S | Blood Tiger (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-blood-tiger-factory-new) Hidden $6.03 9.28 gems $2.49 3.83 gems 0.41x 2026-11-11 23:20 UTC [AUG | Bengal Tiger (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-bengal-tiger-field-tested) Hidden $6.03 9.28 gems $4.29 6.6 gems 0.71x 2026-11-11 23:20 UTC [AUG | Bengal Tiger (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-bengal-tiger-field-tested) Hidden $6.03 9.28 gems $4.29 6.6 gems 0.71x 2026-11-11 23:20 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 01:59 UTC | $6.03 | 89.99% | 17 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 0.5% epic 0.1% legendary 0.1% extraordinary 0.1% gold 0.1% sunny 0.2% Rare 30.0% classified 15.0% mil spec 20.0% restricted 34.0% best hit $1,336 (221.4x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.99 on average: an expected loss of $10.01 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt