--- title: "1% to 500 Killer case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "1% to 500 Killer ($0.38) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 91.57% over 4,188 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/1percent-to-500-killer rendered: 2026-11-12T07:08Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [1% to 500 Killer](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/1percent-to-500-killer) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · 1% to 500 Killer A case on Clash.gg, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/1percent-to-500-killer?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/1percent-to-500-killer?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/1percent-to-500-killer) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/1percent-to-500-killer?window=all) Price · $0.38 · 0.58 gems Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 91.57% · 4,188 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 600 openings · below min 7 days · 77.09% ±56.22 3,211 openings 30 days · 91.57% ±47.10 4,188 openings since tracking started · 91.57% ±47.10 4,188 openings 5.5% 72.5% 139.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/1percent-to-500-killer?window=24h) | 600 | 72.46% ±66.5 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/1percent-to-500-killer?window=7d) | 3,211 | 77.09% ±56.2 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/1percent-to-500-killer) | 4,188 | 91.57% ±47.1 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/1percent-to-500-killer?window=all) | 4,188 | 91.57% ±47.1 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Clash.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Hand Wraps | Slaughter (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-slaughter-minimal-wear) Hidden $0.38 0.58 gems $321 493 gems 850.2x 2026-11-05 16:12 UTC [★ Broken Fang Gloves | Jade (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/broken-fang-gloves-jade-field-tested) Hidden $0.38 0.58 gems $64.51 99.25 gems 171.1x 2026-11-05 05:34 UTC [★ Broken Fang Gloves | Jade (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/broken-fang-gloves-jade-field-tested) Hidden $0.38 0.58 gems $64.51 99.25 gems 171.1x 2026-11-03 21:09 UTC [Desert Eagle | Crimson Web (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-crimson-web-factory-new) Hidden $0.38 0.58 gems $57.84 88.98 gems 153.4x 2026-11-11 15:13 UTC [Desert Eagle | Crimson Web (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-crimson-web-factory-new) [Fujicon](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Fujicon) $0.38 0.58 gems $57.84 88.98 gems 153.4x 2026-11-06 06:07 UTC [Desert Eagle | Crimson Web (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-crimson-web-factory-new) Hidden $0.38 0.58 gems $57.84 88.98 gems 153.4x 2026-11-05 04:02 UTC [Desert Eagle | Crimson Web (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-crimson-web-factory-new) Hidden $0.38 0.58 gems $57.84 88.98 gems 153.4x 2026-11-05 04:02 UTC [Desert Eagle | Crimson Web (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-crimson-web-factory-new) Hidden $0.38 0.58 gems $57.84 88.98 gems 153.4x 2026-11-04 17:56 UTC [P90 | Cold Blooded (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-cold-blooded-factory-new) Hidden $0.38 0.58 gems $32.96 50.7 gems 87.41x 2026-11-11 15:12 UTC [P90 | Cold Blooded (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-cold-blooded-factory-new) Hidden $0.38 0.58 gems $32.96 50.7 gems 87.41x 2026-11-11 15:10 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=1percent-to-500-killer) [P250 | Sand Dune (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-battle-scarred) Hidden $0.38 0.58 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.02x 2026-11-12 02:43 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-battle-scarred) Hidden $0.38 0.58 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.02x 2026-11-12 02:43 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-battle-scarred) Hidden $0.38 0.58 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.02x 2026-11-12 02:43 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-battle-scarred) Hidden $0.38 0.58 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.02x 2026-11-12 02:43 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-battle-scarred) Hidden $0.38 0.58 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.02x 2026-11-12 02:43 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-battle-scarred) [Darkec](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Darkec) $0.38 0.58 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.02x 2026-11-12 02:43 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-battle-scarred) Hidden $0.38 0.58 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.02x 2026-11-12 02:43 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-battle-scarred) Hidden $0.38 0.58 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.02x 2026-11-12 02:43 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-battle-scarred) Hidden $0.38 0.58 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.02x 2026-11-12 02:43 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-battle-scarred) Hidden $0.38 0.58 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.02x 2026-11-12 02:43 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $321 (850.2x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 91.6% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $91.57 on average: an expected loss of $8.43 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt