--- title: "2.5% Dream Knife case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "2.5% Dream Knife ($28.79) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 179.71% over 158 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/2-doot-5percent-dream-knife rendered: 2026-11-12T08:37Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [2.5% Dream Knife](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/2-doot-5percent-dream-knife) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · 2.5% Dream Knife A case on Clash.gg, first seen 6 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/2-doot-5percent-dream-knife?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/2-doot-5percent-dream-knife?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/2-doot-5percent-dream-knife) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/2-doot-5percent-dream-knife?window=all) Price · $28.79 · 44.3 gems Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 179.71% · 158 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 100 openings · below min 7 days · 158 openings · below min 30 days · 158 openings · below min since tracking started · 158 openings · below min -0.5% 169.5% 339.5% **Small sample.** 158 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/2-doot-5percent-dream-knife?window=24h) | 100 | 97.34% ±135.6 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/2-doot-5percent-dream-knife?window=7d) | 158 | 179.71% ±159.4 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/2-doot-5percent-dream-knife) | 158 | 179.71% ±159.4 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/2-doot-5percent-dream-knife?window=all) | 158 | 179.71% ±159.4 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Clash.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Flip Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-doppler-factory-new-emerald) Hidden $28.79 44.3 gems $2,219 3,414 gems 77.07x 2026-11-09 23:58 UTC [★ Bowie Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $28.79 44.3 gems $1,828 2,813 gems 63.50x 2026-11-06 08:41 UTC [★ Flip Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) Hidden $28.79 44.3 gems $1,612 2,480 gems 55.99x 2026-11-11 19:47 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear) Hidden $28.79 44.3 gems $1,323 2,036 gems 45.95x 2026-11-06 07:03 UTC [★ Gut Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $28.79 44.3 gems $1,186 1,825 gems 41.20x 2026-11-11 21:52 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=2-doot-5percent-dream-knife) [P250 | Valence (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-valence-battle-scarred) Hidden $28.79 44.3 gems $0.05 0.07 gems 0.00x 2026-11-12 00:48 UTC [P250 | Valence (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-valence-battle-scarred) Hidden $28.79 44.3 gems $0.05 0.07 gems 0.00x 2026-11-12 00:48 UTC [P250 | Valence (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-valence-battle-scarred) Hidden $28.79 44.3 gems $0.05 0.07 gems 0.00x 2026-11-12 00:48 UTC [P250 | Valence (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-valence-battle-scarred) Hidden $28.79 44.3 gems $0.05 0.07 gems 0.00x 2026-11-12 00:48 UTC [P250 | Valence (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-valence-battle-scarred) Hidden $28.79 44.3 gems $0.05 0.07 gems 0.00x 2026-11-12 00:48 UTC [P250 | Valence (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-valence-battle-scarred) [ForZa ITeck\_](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/ForZa%20ITeck_) $28.79 44.3 gems $0.05 0.07 gems 0.00x 2026-11-12 00:48 UTC [P250 | Valence (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-valence-battle-scarred) Hidden $28.79 44.3 gems $0.05 0.07 gems 0.00x 2026-11-12 00:47 UTC [P250 | Valence (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-valence-battle-scarred) Hidden $28.79 44.3 gems $0.05 0.07 gems 0.00x 2026-11-12 00:47 UTC [P250 | Valence (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-valence-battle-scarred) Hidden $28.79 44.3 gems $0.05 0.07 gems 0.00x 2026-11-12 00:47 UTC [P250 | Valence (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-valence-battle-scarred) Hidden $28.79 44.3 gems $0.05 0.07 gems 0.00x 2026-11-12 00:47 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $2,219 (77.07x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 179.7% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $179.71 on average: an expected loss of $0.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt