--- title: "20% Mid case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "20% Mid ($152.95) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 6 items with odds, observed 84.16% over 611 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/20percent-mid rendered: 2026-11-11T22:43Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [20% Mid](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/20percent-mid) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · 20% Mid A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/20percent-mid?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/20percent-mid?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/20percent-mid) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/20percent-mid?window=all) Price · $152.95 · 235 gems Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $137.65 from 6 items Observed RTP, 30d · 84.16% · 611 openings, odds method Variance · 3.4× · of price², per opening Tail share · 10.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 80.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 6 openings · below min 7 days · 84.57% ±15.32 557 openings 30 days · 84.16% ±14.62 611 openings since tracking started · 84.16% ±14.62 611 openings 68.5% 292.0% 515.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/20percent-mid?window=24h) | 6 | 367.14% ±147.6 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/20percent-mid?window=7d) | 557 | 84.57% ±15.3 | −0.7σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/20percent-mid) | 611 | 84.16% ±14.6 | −0.8σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/20percent-mid?window=all) | 611 | 84.16% ±14.6 | −0.8σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 6 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 657 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Negev \| Mjölnir (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-mjolnir-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $1,244 1,914 gems | 18.1% | 12 | 13.1 | 0.91× | | [AWP \| Desert Hydra (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-desert-hydra-well-worn) | 1 in 33 | $933 1,435 gems | 20.3% | 22 | 19.7 | 1.12× | | [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Red Laminate (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-red-laminate-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $588 905 gems | 21.4% | 31 | 32.8 | 0.94× | | [★ Bayonet \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $527 810 gems | 19.1% | 31 | 32.8 | 0.94× | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Vice (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-vice-battle-scarred) | 1 in 20 | $453 697 gems | 16.5% | 32 | 32.8 | 0.97× | | [Sticker \| mixwell \| Atlanta 2017 sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-mixwell-atlanta-2017) | 80.0% | $7.99 12.29 gems | 4.6% | 529 | 525.6 | 1.01× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 17:55 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Negev | Mjölnir (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-mjolnir-factory-new) Hidden $153 235 gems $1,244 1,914 gems 8.13x 2026-11-11 12:58 UTC [Negev | Mjölnir (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-mjolnir-factory-new) Hidden $153 235 gems $1,244 1,914 gems 8.13x 2026-11-10 20:44 UTC [Negev | Mjölnir (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-mjolnir-factory-new) Hidden $153 235 gems $1,244 1,914 gems 8.13x 2026-11-09 17:10 UTC [Negev | Mjölnir (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-mjolnir-factory-new) [Lorent](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Lorent) $153 235 gems $1,244 1,914 gems 8.13x 2026-11-06 10:23 UTC [Negev | Mjölnir (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-mjolnir-factory-new) Hidden $153 235 gems $1,244 1,914 gems 8.13x 2026-11-06 10:22 UTC [Negev | Mjölnir (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-mjolnir-factory-new) Hidden $153 235 gems $1,244 1,914 gems 8.13x 2026-11-06 09:57 UTC [Negev | Mjölnir (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-mjolnir-factory-new) Hidden $153 235 gems $1,244 1,914 gems 8.13x 2026-11-04 13:59 UTC [Negev | Mjölnir (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-mjolnir-factory-new) Hidden $153 235 gems $1,244 1,914 gems 8.13x 2026-11-02 23:57 UTC [Negev | Mjölnir (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-mjolnir-factory-new) Hidden $153 235 gems $1,244 1,914 gems 8.13x 2026-11-02 23:47 UTC [Negev | Mjölnir (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-mjolnir-factory-new) Hidden $153 235 gems $1,244 1,914 gems 8.13x 2026-11-02 23:44 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=20percent-mid) [StatTrak™ AK-47 | Red Laminate (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-red-laminate-factory-new) Hidden $153 235 gems $588 905 gems 3.85x 2026-11-11 12:58 UTC [Sticker | mixwell | Atlanta 2017 sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-mixwell-atlanta-2017) Hidden $153 235 gems $7.99 12.29 gems 0.05x 2026-11-11 12:58 UTC [Negev | Mjölnir (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-mjolnir-factory-new) Hidden $153 235 gems $1,244 1,914 gems 8.13x 2026-11-11 12:58 UTC [AWP | Desert Hydra (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-desert-hydra-well-worn) Hidden $153 235 gems $933 1,435 gems 6.10x 2026-11-11 12:58 UTC [Sticker | mixwell | Atlanta 2017 sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-mixwell-atlanta-2017) Hidden $153 235 gems $7.99 12.29 gems 0.05x 2026-11-11 12:58 UTC [StatTrak™ AK-47 | Red Laminate (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-red-laminate-factory-new) [FarelEnergy skinbet.gg](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/FarelEnergy%20skinbet.gg) $153 235 gems $588 905 gems 3.85x 2026-11-11 12:58 UTC [Sticker | mixwell | Atlanta 2017 sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-mixwell-atlanta-2017) Hidden $153 235 gems $7.99 12.29 gems 0.05x 2026-11-10 20:46 UTC [Sticker | mixwell | Atlanta 2017 sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-mixwell-atlanta-2017) Hidden $153 235 gems $7.99 12.29 gems 0.05x 2026-11-10 20:46 UTC [Sticker | mixwell | Atlanta 2017 sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-mixwell-atlanta-2017) Hidden $153 235 gems $7.99 12.29 gems 0.05x 2026-11-10 20:46 UTC [Sticker | mixwell | Atlanta 2017 sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-mixwell-atlanta-2017) [☠](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/%E2%98%A0) $153 235 gems $7.99 12.29 gems 0.05x 2026-11-10 20:46 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $153 | 90.00% | 6 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed classified 7.0% covert 3.0% gold 5.0% extraordinary 5.0% High Grade 80.0% best hit $1,244 (8.13x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt