--- title: "25percent-fun-alarm case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "25percent-fun-alarm ($2.15) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 16.21% over 12 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/25percent-fun-alarm rendered: 2026-11-12T05:18Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [25percent-fun-alarm](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/25percent-fun-alarm) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · 25percent-fun-alarm A case on Clash.gg, first seen 12 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/25percent-fun-alarm?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/25percent-fun-alarm?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/25percent-fun-alarm) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/25percent-fun-alarm?window=all) Price · $2.15 · 3.31 gems Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 16.21% · 12 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 12 openings · below min 7 days · 12 openings · below min 30 days · 12 openings · below min since tracking started · 12 openings · below min -0.5% 23.8% 48.0% **Small sample.** 12 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/25percent-fun-alarm?window=24h) | 12 | 16.21% ±31.1 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/25percent-fun-alarm?window=7d) | 12 | 16.21% ±31.1 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/25percent-fun-alarm) | 12 | 16.21% ±31.1 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/25percent-fun-alarm?window=all) | 12 | 16.21% ±31.1 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Clash.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=25percent-fun-alarm) [Sealed Graffiti | Backstab graffiti](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-backstab) Hidden $2.15 3.31 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-12 02:42 UTC [Sticker | Bum A Smoke sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-bum-a-smoke) Hidden $2.15 3.31 gems $0.01 0.02 gems 0.01x 2026-11-12 02:42 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Tombstone graffiti](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-tombstone) Hidden $2.15 3.31 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-12 02:42 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Backstab graffiti](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-backstab) Hidden $2.15 3.31 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-12 02:42 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Tombstone graffiti](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-tombstone) Hidden $2.15 3.31 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-12 02:42 UTC [StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Monkey Business (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-five-seven-monkey-business-field-tested) [Ferdi Fuchs Miniwürstchen](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Ferdi%20Fuchs%20Miniw%C3%BCrstchen) $2.15 3.31 gems $4.10 6.31 gems 1.91x 2026-11-12 02:42 UTC [Sticker | Bum A Smoke sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-bum-a-smoke) Hidden $2.15 3.31 gems $0.01 0.02 gems 0.01x 2026-11-12 02:42 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Tombstone graffiti](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-tombstone) Hidden $2.15 3.31 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-12 02:42 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Backstab graffiti](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-backstab) Hidden $2.15 3.31 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-12 02:42 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Tombstone graffiti](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-tombstone) Hidden $2.15 3.31 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-12 02:42 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 16.2% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $16.21 on average: an expected loss of $83.79 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt