--- title: "2% KNIFE-LOTO case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "2% KNIFE-LOTO ($3.25) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 208.85% over 30 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/2percent-knife-loto rendered: 2026-11-12T00:33Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [2% KNIFE-LOTO](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/2percent-knife-loto) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · 2% KNIFE-LOTO A case on Clash.gg, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/2percent-knife-loto?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/2percent-knife-loto?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/2percent-knife-loto) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/2percent-knife-loto?window=all) Price · $3.25 · 5 gems Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 208.85% · 30 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 12 openings · below min 7 days · 24 openings · below min 30 days · 30 openings · below min since tracking started · 30 openings · below min -0.5% 386.3% 773.0% **Small sample.** 30 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/2percent-knife-loto?window=24h) | 12 | 0.20% ±0.00 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/2percent-knife-loto?window=7d) | 24 | 261.01% ±511.2 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/2percent-knife-loto) | 30 | 208.85% ±408.9 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/2percent-knife-loto?window=all) | 30 | 208.85% ±408.9 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Clash.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Skeleton Knife | Rust Coat (Well-Worn) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-rust-coat-well-worn) Hidden $3.25 5 gems $203 313 gems 62.60x 2026-11-10 02:45 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=2percent-knife-loto) [Sealed Graffiti | Backstab graffiti](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-backstab) Hidden $3.25 5 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 03:40 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Backstab graffiti](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-backstab) Hidden $3.25 5 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 03:40 UTC [Sticker | FaZe Clan | Paris 2023 sticker · 7](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-faze-clan-paris-2023) Hidden $3.25 5 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 03:40 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Backstab graffiti](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-backstab) Hidden $3.25 5 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 03:40 UTC [Sticker | FaZe Clan | Paris 2023 sticker · 7](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-faze-clan-paris-2023) Hidden $3.25 5 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 03:40 UTC [Sticker | FaZe Clan | Paris 2023 sticker · 7](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-faze-clan-paris-2023) [Sshea\_hogan88](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Sshea_hogan88) $3.25 5 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 03:40 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-battle-scarred) Hidden $3.25 5 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 02:25 UTC [P90 | Sand Spray (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-sand-spray-battle-scarred) Hidden $3.25 5 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 02:25 UTC [Sticker | Arms Race sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-arms-race) Hidden $3.25 5 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 02:25 UTC [Sticker | This Is Fine (Chicken) sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-this-is-fine-chicken) Hidden $3.25 5 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 02:25 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $203 (62.60x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 208.8% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $208.85 on average: an expected loss of $0.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt