--- title: "30% HighRoller case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "30% HighRoller ($1,542.85) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 6 items with odds, observed 68.61% over 42 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/30percent-highroller rendered: 2026-11-11T13:58Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [30% HighRoller](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/30percent-highroller) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · 30% HighRoller A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/30percent-highroller?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/30percent-highroller?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/30percent-highroller) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/30percent-highroller?window=all) Price · $1,542.85 · 2,374 gems Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $1,388.55 from 6 items Observed RTP, 30d · 68.61% · 42 openings, odds method Variance · 2.8× · of price², per opening Tail share · 12.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 70.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 36 openings · below min 30 days · 42 openings · below min since tracking started · 42 openings · below min 10.0% 65.0% 120.0% **Small sample.** 42 openings and 5.0 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/30percent-highroller?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/30percent-highroller?window=7d) | 36 | 64.91% ±54.2 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/30percent-highroller) | 42 | 68.61% ±50.2 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/30percent-highroller?window=all) | 42 | 68.61% ±50.2 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 6 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 42 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AWP \| Dragon Lore (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-factory-new) | 1 in 17 | $8,936 13,748 gems | 38.6% | 0 | 2.5 | 0.00× | | [AWP \| Gungnir (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-gungnir-factory-new) | 1 in 17 | $6,003 9,235 gems | 25.9% | 3 | 2.5 | 1.19× | | [M4A4 \| Howl (Factory New) weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-factory-new) | 1 in 17 | $4,188 6,443 gems | 18.1% | 4 | 2.5 | 1.59× | | [AK-47 \| Fire Serpent (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fire-serpent-factory-new) | 1 in 17 | $2,312 3,557 gems | 10.0% | 2 | 2.5 | 0.79× | | [M4A1-S \| Knight (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-knight-factory-new) | 1 in 17 | $1,614 2,483 gems | 7.0% | 3 | 2.5 | 1.19× | | [AK-47 \| Frontside Misty (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-frontside-misty-battle-scarred) | 70.0% | $7.72 11.87 gems | 0.4% | 30 | 29.4 | 1.02× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [AWP | Gungnir (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-gungnir-factory-new) Hidden $1,543 2,374 gems $6,003 9,235 gems 3.89x 2026-11-04 19:31 UTC [AWP | Gungnir (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-gungnir-factory-new) Hidden $1,543 2,374 gems $6,003 9,235 gems 3.89x 2026-11-04 19:30 UTC [AWP | Gungnir (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-gungnir-factory-new) Hidden $1,543 2,374 gems $6,003 9,235 gems 3.89x 2026-11-04 19:29 UTC [M4A4 | Howl (Factory New) weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-factory-new) Hidden $1,543 2,374 gems $4,188 6,443 gems 2.71x 2026-11-10 00:28 UTC [M4A4 | Howl (Factory New) weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-factory-new) Hidden $1,543 2,374 gems $4,188 6,443 gems 2.71x 2026-11-04 19:31 UTC [M4A4 | Howl (Factory New) weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-factory-new) Hidden $1,543 2,374 gems $4,188 6,443 gems 2.71x 2026-11-03 22:49 UTC [M4A4 | Howl (Factory New) weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-factory-new) Hidden $1,543 2,374 gems $4,188 6,443 gems 2.71x 2026-11-03 22:49 UTC [AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fire-serpent-factory-new) Hidden $1,543 2,374 gems $2,312 3,557 gems 1.50x 2026-11-04 19:30 UTC [AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fire-serpent-factory-new) Hidden $1,543 2,374 gems $2,312 3,557 gems 1.50x 2026-11-04 19:29 UTC [M4A1-S | Knight (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-knight-factory-new) Hidden $1,543 2,374 gems $1,614 2,483 gems 1.05x 2026-11-09 11:28 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=30percent-highroller) [M4A4 | Howl (Factory New) weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-factory-new) Hidden $1,543 2,374 gems $4,188 6,443 gems 2.71x 2026-11-10 00:28 UTC [AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-frontside-misty-battle-scarred) Hidden $1,543 2,374 gems $7.72 11.87 gems 0.01x 2026-11-10 00:28 UTC [AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-frontside-misty-battle-scarred) Hidden $1,543 2,374 gems $7.72 11.87 gems 0.01x 2026-11-10 00:28 UTC [AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-frontside-misty-battle-scarred) [Beljit](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Beljit) $1,543 2,374 gems $7.72 11.87 gems 0.01x 2026-11-10 00:28 UTC [AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-frontside-misty-battle-scarred) Hidden $1,543 2,374 gems $7.72 11.87 gems 0.01x 2026-11-09 11:28 UTC [AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-frontside-misty-battle-scarred) Hidden $1,543 2,374 gems $7.72 11.87 gems 0.01x 2026-11-09 11:28 UTC [M4A1-S | Knight (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-knight-factory-new) Hidden $1,543 2,374 gems $1,614 2,483 gems 1.05x 2026-11-09 11:28 UTC [AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-frontside-misty-battle-scarred) Hidden $1,543 2,374 gems $7.72 11.87 gems 0.01x 2026-11-09 11:28 UTC [AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-frontside-misty-battle-scarred) Hidden $1,543 2,374 gems $7.72 11.87 gems 0.01x 2026-11-09 11:28 UTC [AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-frontside-misty-battle-scarred) [Palm Beach Pete](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Palm%20Beach%20Pete) $1,543 2,374 gems $7.72 11.87 gems 0.01x 2026-11-09 11:28 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $1,543 | 90.00% | 6 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 18.0% contraband 6.0% classified 76.0% best hit $6,003 (3.89x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt