---
title: "4.5% snowball case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "4.5% snowball ($0.59) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 98.40% over 114 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/4-doot-5percent-snowball
rendered: 2026-11-12T07:00Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [4.5% snowball](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/4-doot-5percent-snowball)

# [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · 4.5% snowball

A case on Clash.gg, first seen 5 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/4-doot-5percent-snowball?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/4-doot-5percent-snowball?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/4-doot-5percent-snowball) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/4-doot-5percent-snowball?window=all)

Price · $0.59 · 0.9 gems

Advertised RTP · — · no catalog

Observed RTP, 30d · 98.40% · 114 openings, sample method

Variance · — · needs odds

Tail share · — · needs odds

Below price · — · needs odds

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band outside band small sample

7 days · 114 openings · below min

30 days · 114 openings · below min

since tracking started · 114 openings · below min

-0.5% 103.3% 207.0%

**Small sample.** 114 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/4-doot-5percent-snowball?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/4-doot-5percent-snowball?window=7d) | 114 | 98.40% ±107.9 | — | sample |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/4-doot-5percent-snowball) | 114 | 98.40% ±107.9 | — | sample |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/4-doot-5percent-snowball?window=all) | 114 | 98.40% ±107.9 | — | sample |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · none published

**No catalog** Clash.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.

Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-orange-ddpat-factory-new) [Sosodzia](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Sosodzia) $0.59 0.9 gems $32.55 50.08 gems 55.64x 2026-11-05 18:02 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=4-doot-5percent-snowball)

[P90 | Sand Spray (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-sand-spray-battle-scarred) Hidden $0.59 0.9 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.01x 2026-11-08 19:56 UTC

[USP-S | Whiteout (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-whiteout-field-tested) Hidden $0.59 0.9 gems $3.23 4.97 gems 5.52x 2026-11-08 19:56 UTC

[P90 | Sand Spray (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-sand-spray-battle-scarred) Hidden $0.59 0.9 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.01x 2026-11-08 19:56 UTC

[P90 | Sand Spray (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-sand-spray-battle-scarred) Hidden $0.59 0.9 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.01x 2026-11-08 19:56 UTC

[P90 | Sand Spray (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-sand-spray-battle-scarred) Hidden $0.59 0.9 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.01x 2026-11-08 19:56 UTC

[P90 | Sand Spray (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-sand-spray-battle-scarred) [MILIKE11](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/MILIKE11) $0.59 0.9 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.01x 2026-11-08 19:56 UTC

[P90 | Sand Spray (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-sand-spray-battle-scarred) Hidden $0.59 0.9 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.01x 2026-11-05 18:08 UTC

[P90 | Sand Spray (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-sand-spray-battle-scarred) Hidden $0.59 0.9 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.01x 2026-11-05 18:08 UTC

[P90 | Sand Spray (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-sand-spray-battle-scarred) Hidden $0.59 0.9 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.01x 2026-11-05 18:08 UTC

[P90 | Sand Spray (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-sand-spray-battle-scarred) Hidden $0.59 0.9 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.01x 2026-11-05 18:08 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed best hit $32.55 (55.64x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 98.4% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $98.40 on average: an expected loss of $1.60 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
