--- title: "40% Knife Burner case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "40% Knife Burner ($47.42) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 121.55% over 6 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/40percent-knife-burner rendered: 2026-11-12T04:04Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [40% Knife Burner](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/40percent-knife-burner) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · 40% Knife Burner A case on Clash.gg, first seen 11 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/40percent-knife-burner?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/40percent-knife-burner?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/40percent-knife-burner) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/40percent-knife-burner?window=all) Price · $47.42 · 72.96 gems Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 121.55% · 6 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 6 openings · below min 7 days · 6 openings · below min 30 days · 6 openings · below min since tracking started · 6 openings · below min -0.5% 122.0% 244.5% **Small sample.** 6 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/40percent-knife-burner?window=24h) | 6 | 121.55% ±122.3 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/40percent-knife-burner?window=7d) | 6 | 121.55% ±122.3 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/40percent-knife-burner) | 6 | 121.55% ±122.3 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/40percent-knife-burner?window=all) | 6 | 121.55% ±122.3 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Clash.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=40percent-knife-burner) [★ Skeleton Knife | Safari Mesh (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-safari-mesh-well-worn) Hidden $47.42 72.96 gems $152 235 gems 3.21x 2026-11-11 17:18 UTC [★ Shadow Daggers | Bright Water (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-bright-water-minimal-wear) Hidden $47.42 72.96 gems $50.13 77.13 gems 1.06x 2026-11-11 17:18 UTC [P250 | Forest Night (Minimal Wear) weapon · gray](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-forest-night-minimal-wear) Hidden $47.42 72.96 gems $0.08 0.13 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 17:18 UTC [P250 | Cyber Shell (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-cyber-shell-field-tested) Hidden $47.42 72.96 gems $0.08 0.13 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 17:18 UTC [★ Gut Knife | Autotronic (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-autotronic-factory-new) [Ceontea](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Ceontea) $47.42 72.96 gems $143 220 gems 3.02x 2026-11-11 17:18 UTC [Glock-18 | Death Rattle (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-death-rattle-minimal-wear) [FarelEnergy skinbet.gg](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/FarelEnergy%20skinbet.gg) $47.42 72.96 gems $0.08 0.12 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 17:18 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 121.6% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $121.55 on average: an expected loss of $0.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt