---
title: "582 4 % case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "582 4 % ($0.13) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 205.54% over 102 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/582-4-percent
rendered: 2026-11-11T22:43Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [582 4 %](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/582-4-percent)

# [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · 582 4 %

A case on Clash.gg, first seen 5 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/582-4-percent?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/582-4-percent?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/582-4-percent) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/582-4-percent?window=all)

Price · $0.13 · 0.2 gems

Advertised RTP · — · no catalog

Observed RTP, 30d · 205.54% · 102 openings, sample method

Variance · — · needs odds

Tail share · — · needs odds

Below price · — · needs odds

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band outside band small sample

7 days · 102 openings · below min

30 days · 102 openings · below min

since tracking started · 102 openings · below min

-0.5% 219.3% 439.0%

**Small sample.** 102 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/582-4-percent?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/582-4-percent?window=7d) | 102 | 205.54% ±232.7 | — | sample |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/582-4-percent) | 102 | 205.54% ±232.7 | — | sample |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/582-4-percent?window=all) | 102 | 205.54% ±232.7 | — | sample |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · none published

**No catalog** Clash.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.

Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[Glock-18 | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-gamma-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $0.13 0.2 gems $13.44 20.68 gems 103.4x 2026-11-10 14:53 UTC

[AK-47 | Ice Coaled (Well-Worn) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-ice-coaled-well-worn) [quick](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/quick) $0.13 0.2 gems $7.91 12.17 gems 60.85x 2026-11-10 14:57 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=582-4-percent)

[P250 | Sand Dune (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-field-tested) Hidden $0.13 0.2 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.05x 2026-11-10 14:57 UTC

[P250 | Sand Dune (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-field-tested) Hidden $0.13 0.2 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.05x 2026-11-10 14:57 UTC

[P250 | Sand Dune (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-field-tested) Hidden $0.13 0.2 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.05x 2026-11-10 14:57 UTC

[P250 | Sand Dune (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-field-tested) Hidden $0.13 0.2 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.05x 2026-11-10 14:57 UTC

[P250 | Sand Dune (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-field-tested) Hidden $0.13 0.2 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.05x 2026-11-10 14:57 UTC

[AK-47 | Ice Coaled (Well-Worn) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-ice-coaled-well-worn) [quick](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/quick) $0.13 0.2 gems $7.91 12.17 gems 60.85x 2026-11-10 14:57 UTC

[P250 | Sand Dune (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-field-tested) Hidden $0.13 0.2 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.05x 2026-11-10 14:57 UTC

[P250 | Sand Dune (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-field-tested) Hidden $0.13 0.2 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.05x 2026-11-10 14:57 UTC

[P250 | Sand Dune (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-field-tested) Hidden $0.13 0.2 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.05x 2026-11-10 14:57 UTC

[P250 | Sand Dune (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-field-tested) Hidden $0.13 0.2 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.05x 2026-11-10 14:57 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed best hit $13.44 (103.4x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 205.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $205.54 on average: an expected loss of $0.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
