--- title: "5% ‎ ‎ case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "5% ‎ ‎ ($16.25) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 87.55% over 1,074 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/5percent-2181167 rendered: 2026-11-11T22:28Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [5% ‎ ‎](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/5percent-2181167) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · 5% ‎ ‎ A case on Clash.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/5percent-2181167?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/5percent-2181167?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/5percent-2181167) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/5percent-2181167?window=all) Price · $16.25 · 25 gems Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 87.55% · 1,074 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 279 openings · below min 7 days · 709 openings · below min 30 days · 87.55% ±34.97 1,074 openings since tracking started · 87.55% ±34.97 1,074 openings 23.5% 73.3% 123.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/5percent-2181167?window=24h) | 279 | 62.93% ±38.7 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/5percent-2181167?window=7d) | 709 | 62.43% ±24.9 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/5percent-2181167) | 1,074 | 87.55% ±35.0 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/5percent-2181167?window=all) | 1,074 | 87.55% ±35.0 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Clash.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Butterfly Knife | Fade (Minimal Wear) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-fade-minimal-wear) Hidden $16.25 25 gems $2,248 3,458 gems 138.3x 2026-11-04 09:51 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Amphibious (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-amphibious-minimal-wear) [Shaqy](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Shaqy) $16.25 25 gems $1,238 1,905 gems 76.20x 2026-11-04 00:14 UTC [★ Bloodhound Gloves | Charred (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/bloodhound-gloves-charred-factory-new) [trave](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/trave) $16.25 25 gems $519 799 gems 31.96x 2026-11-09 18:19 UTC [★ Bloodhound Gloves | Charred (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/bloodhound-gloves-charred-factory-new) Hidden $16.25 25 gems $519 799 gems 31.96x 2026-11-04 09:25 UTC [★ Specialist Gloves | Lt. Commander (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-lt-commander-factory-new) Hidden $16.25 25 gems $518 797 gems 31.90x 2026-11-11 15:01 UTC [★ Specialist Gloves | Lt. Commander (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-lt-commander-factory-new) [I'mACUNTⱭ͞ ̶̶͞ ̶͞͞ ̶͞͞ ̶͞͞ ̶͞͞ﻝﮞ](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/I'mACUNT%E2%B1%AD%CD%9E%20%CC%B6%CC%B6%CD%9E%20%CC%B6%CD%9E%CD%9E%20%CC%B6%CD%9E%CD%9E%20%CC%B6%CD%9E%CD%9E%20%CC%B6%CD%9E%CD%9E%EF%BB%9D%EF%AE%9E) $16.25 25 gems $518 797 gems 31.90x 2026-11-08 21:52 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=5percent-2181167) [Sealed Graffiti | Backstab graffiti](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-backstab) Hidden $16.25 25 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 15:06 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Backstab graffiti](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-backstab) Hidden $16.25 25 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 15:06 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Backstab graffiti](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-backstab) Hidden $16.25 25 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 15:06 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Backstab graffiti](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-backstab) Hidden $16.25 25 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 15:06 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Backstab graffiti](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-backstab) Hidden $16.25 25 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 15:06 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Backstab graffiti](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-backstab) [fredsol](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/fredsol) $16.25 25 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 15:06 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Backstab graffiti](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-backstab) Hidden $16.25 25 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 15:06 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Backstab graffiti](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-backstab) Hidden $16.25 25 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 15:06 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Backstab graffiti](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-backstab) Hidden $16.25 25 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 15:06 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Backstab graffiti](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-backstab) Hidden $16.25 25 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 15:06 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $2,248 (138.3x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 87.6% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $87.55 on average: an expected loss of $12.45 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt