--- title: "5% CASE‎ case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "5% CASE‎ ($16.25) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 57.19% over 397 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/5percent-case-2181160 rendered: 2026-11-11T22:45Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [5% CASE‎](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/5percent-case-2181160) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · 5% CASE‎ A case on Clash.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/5percent-case-2181160?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/5percent-case-2181160?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/5percent-case-2181160) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/5percent-case-2181160?window=all) Price · $16.25 · 25 gems Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 57.19% · 397 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 4 openings · below min 7 days · 313 openings · below min 30 days · 397 openings · below min since tracking started · 397 openings · below min -0.5% 44.0% 88.5% **Small sample.** 397 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/5percent-case-2181160?window=24h) | 4 | 0.04% ±0.00 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/5percent-case-2181160?window=7d) | 313 | 55.38% ±31.8 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/5percent-case-2181160) | 397 | 57.19% ±30.5 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/5percent-case-2181160?window=all) | 397 | 57.19% ±30.5 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Clash.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Specialist Gloves | Lt. Commander (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-lt-commander-factory-new) [I'mACUNTⱭ͞ ̶̶͞ ̶͞͞ ̶͞͞ ̶͞͞ ̶͞͞ﻝﮞ](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/I'mACUNT%E2%B1%AD%CD%9E%20%CC%B6%CC%B6%CD%9E%20%CC%B6%CD%9E%CD%9E%20%CC%B6%CD%9E%CD%9E%20%CC%B6%CD%9E%CD%9E%20%CC%B6%CD%9E%CD%9E%EF%BB%9D%EF%AE%9E) $16.25 25 gems $518 797 gems 31.90x 2026-11-08 21:55 UTC [★ Specialist Gloves | Lt. Commander (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-lt-commander-factory-new) Hidden $16.25 25 gems $518 797 gems 31.90x 2026-11-04 02:23 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=5percent-case-2181160) [Sealed Graffiti | Backstab graffiti](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-backstab) Hidden $16.25 25 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 11:54 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Backstab graffiti](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-backstab) Hidden $16.25 25 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 11:54 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Backstab graffiti](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-backstab) Hidden $16.25 25 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 11:54 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Backstab graffiti](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-backstab) [linux](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/linux) $16.25 25 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 11:54 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Backstab graffiti](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-backstab) Hidden $16.25 25 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-09 20:11 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Backstab graffiti](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-backstab) Hidden $16.25 25 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-09 20:11 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Backstab graffiti](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-backstab) Hidden $16.25 25 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-09 20:11 UTC [Sticker | sdy (Gold) | Katowice 2019 sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-sdy-gold-katowice-2019) Hidden $16.25 25 gems $215 330 gems 13.21x 2026-11-09 20:11 UTC [DreamHack 2014 Legends (Holo-Foil) other · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/dreamhack-2014-legends-holo-foil-2) Hidden $16.25 25 gems $189 290 gems 11.60x 2026-11-09 20:11 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Backstab graffiti](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-backstab) Hidden $16.25 25 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-09 20:11 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $518 (31.90x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 57.2% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $57.19 on average: an expected loss of $42.81 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt