--- title: "5percent-faded-471493 case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "5percent-faded-471493 ($1.29) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 141.12% over 90 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/5percent-faded-471493 rendered: 2026-11-13T00:48Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [5percent-faded-471493](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/5percent-faded-471493) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · 5percent-faded-471493 A case on Clash.gg, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/5percent-faded-471493?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/5percent-faded-471493?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/5percent-faded-471493) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/5percent-faded-471493?window=all) Price · $1.29 · 1.99 gems Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 141.12% · 90 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 7 days · 18 openings · below min 30 days · 90 openings · below min since tracking started · 90 openings · below min -0.5% 151.8% 304.0% **Small sample.** 90 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/5percent-faded-471493?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/5percent-faded-471493?window=7d) | 18 | 0.50% ±0.00 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/5percent-faded-471493) | 90 | 141.12% ±162.4 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/5percent-faded-471493?window=all) | 90 | 141.12% ±162.4 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Clash.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Souvenir UMP-45 | Fade (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ump-45-fade-factory-new) Hidden $1.29 1.99 gems $68.01 105 gems 52.58x 2026-11-03 20:06 UTC [Souvenir UMP-45 | Fade (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ump-45-fade-factory-new) Hidden $1.29 1.99 gems $68.01 105 gems 52.58x 2026-11-03 20:05 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=5percent-faded-471493) [P250 | Sand Dune (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-field-tested) Hidden $1.29 1.99 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.01x 2026-11-07 15:12 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-field-tested) Hidden $1.29 1.99 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.01x 2026-11-07 15:12 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-field-tested) Hidden $1.29 1.99 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.01x 2026-11-07 15:12 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-field-tested) Hidden $1.29 1.99 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.01x 2026-11-07 15:12 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-field-tested) Hidden $1.29 1.99 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.01x 2026-11-07 15:12 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-field-tested) [Code CIAL](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Code%20CIAL) $1.29 1.99 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.01x 2026-11-07 15:12 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-field-tested) Hidden $1.29 1.99 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.01x 2026-11-07 15:12 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-field-tested) Hidden $1.29 1.99 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.01x 2026-11-07 15:12 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-field-tested) Hidden $1.29 1.99 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.01x 2026-11-07 15:12 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-field-tested) Hidden $1.29 1.99 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.01x 2026-11-07 15:12 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $68.01 (52.58x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 141.1% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $141.12 on average: an expected loss of $0.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt