--- title: "5% HitTheGold case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "5% HitTheGold ($3.21) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 86.43% over 881 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/5percent-hitthegold rendered: 2026-11-12T01:14Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [5% HitTheGold](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/5percent-hitthegold) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · 5% HitTheGold A case on Clash.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/5percent-hitthegold?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/5percent-hitthegold?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/5percent-hitthegold) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/5percent-hitthegold?window=all) Price · $3.21 · 4.94 gems Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 86.43% · 881 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 144 openings · below min 7 days · 799 openings · below min 30 days · 881 openings · below min since tracking started · 881 openings · below min -0.5% 67.3% 135.0% **Small sample.** 881 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/5percent-hitthegold?window=24h) | 144 | 48.27% ±58.0 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/5percent-hitthegold?window=7d) | 799 | 89.56% ±44.5 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/5percent-hitthegold) | 881 | 86.43% ±40.9 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/5percent-hitthegold?window=all) | 881 | 86.43% ±40.9 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Clash.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [AK-47 | Hydroponic (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-hydroponic-well-worn) Hidden $3.21 4.94 gems $419 644 gems 130.4x 2026-11-09 15:15 UTC [★ Talon Knife | Damascus Steel (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-damascus-steel-factory-new) Hidden $3.21 4.94 gems $260 400 gems 81.05x 2026-11-09 10:24 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=5percent-hitthegold) [P90 | Ancient Earth (Field-Tested) weapon · gray](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-ancient-earth-field-tested) Hidden $3.21 4.94 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 23:39 UTC [P90 | Ancient Earth (Field-Tested) weapon · gray](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-ancient-earth-field-tested) Hidden $3.21 4.94 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 23:39 UTC [P90 | Ancient Earth (Field-Tested) weapon · gray](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-ancient-earth-field-tested) Hidden $3.21 4.94 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 23:39 UTC [P90 | Ancient Earth (Field-Tested) weapon · gray](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-ancient-earth-field-tested) Hidden $3.21 4.94 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 23:39 UTC [P90 | Ancient Earth (Field-Tested) weapon · gray](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-ancient-earth-field-tested) Hidden $3.21 4.94 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 23:39 UTC [P90 | Ancient Earth (Field-Tested) weapon · gray](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-ancient-earth-field-tested) [jacksotuff](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/jacksotuff) $3.21 4.94 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 23:39 UTC [P90 | Ancient Earth (Field-Tested) weapon · gray](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-ancient-earth-field-tested) Hidden $3.21 4.94 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 23:05 UTC [P90 | Ancient Earth (Field-Tested) weapon · gray](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-ancient-earth-field-tested) Hidden $3.21 4.94 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 23:05 UTC [P90 | Ancient Earth (Field-Tested) weapon · gray](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-ancient-earth-field-tested) Hidden $3.21 4.94 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 23:05 UTC [P90 | Ancient Earth (Field-Tested) weapon · gray](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-ancient-earth-field-tested) Hidden $3.21 4.94 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 23:05 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $419 (130.4x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 86.4% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $86.43 on average: an expected loss of $13.57 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt