--- title: "5percent-jackpot-crash case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "5percent-jackpot-crash ($0.21) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 5193.23% over 6 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/5percent-jackpot-crash rendered: 2026-11-12T15:02Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [5percent-jackpot-crash](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/5percent-jackpot-crash) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · 5percent-jackpot-crash A case on Clash.gg, first seen 10 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/5percent-jackpot-crash?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/5percent-jackpot-crash?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/5percent-jackpot-crash) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/5percent-jackpot-crash?window=all) Price · $0.21 · 0.32 gems Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 5193.23% · 6 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 7 days · 6 openings · below min 30 days · 6 openings · below min since tracking started · 6 openings · below min -0.5% 7683.0% 15366.5% **Small sample.** 6 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/5percent-jackpot-crash?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/5percent-jackpot-crash?window=7d) | 6 | 5193.23% ±10172.4 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/5percent-jackpot-crash) | 6 | 5193.23% ±10172.4 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/5percent-jackpot-crash?window=all) | 6 | 5193.23% ±10172.4 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Clash.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Gut Knife | Bright Water (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-bright-water-factory-new) Hidden $0.21 0.32 gems $64.78 99.66 gems 311.4x 2026-11-10 17:08 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=5percent-jackpot-crash) [Sealed Graffiti | Backstab graffiti](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-backstab) Hidden $0.21 0.32 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.03x 2026-11-10 17:08 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Backstab graffiti](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-backstab) Hidden $0.21 0.32 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.03x 2026-11-10 17:08 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Backstab graffiti](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-backstab) Hidden $0.21 0.32 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.03x 2026-11-10 17:08 UTC [★ Gut Knife | Bright Water (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-bright-water-factory-new) Hidden $0.21 0.32 gems $64.78 99.66 gems 311.4x 2026-11-10 17:08 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Backstab graffiti](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-backstab) Hidden $0.21 0.32 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.03x 2026-11-10 17:08 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Backstab graffiti](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-backstab) [Kuschman](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Kuschman) $0.21 0.32 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.03x 2026-11-10 17:08 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $64.78 (311.4x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 5193.2% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $5,193.23 on average: an expected loss of $0.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt