--- title: "5% Marble Fada case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "5% Marble Fada ($20.80) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 142.71% over 98 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/5percent-marble-fada rendered: 2026-11-13T06:17Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [5% Marble Fada](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/5percent-marble-fada) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · 5% Marble Fada A case on Clash.gg, first seen 5 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/5percent-marble-fada?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/5percent-marble-fada?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/5percent-marble-fada) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/5percent-marble-fada?window=all) Price · $20.80 · 32 gems Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 142.71% · 98 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 18 openings · below min 7 days · 64 openings · below min 30 days · 98 openings · below min since tracking started · 98 openings · below min -0.5% 170.0% 340.5% **Small sample.** 98 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/5percent-marble-fada?window=24h) | 18 | 71.03% ±98.7 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/5percent-marble-fada?window=7d) | 64 | 153.46% ±186.5 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/5percent-marble-fada) | 98 | 142.71% ±135.2 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/5percent-marble-fada?window=all) | 98 | 142.71% ±135.2 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Clash.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Butterfly Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) Hidden $20.80 32 gems $1,008 1,550 gems 48.44x 2026-11-11 07:45 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-marble-fade-factory-new) Hidden $20.80 32 gems $769 1,183 gems 36.98x 2026-11-10 02:12 UTC [★ Skeleton Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) [Terminal](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Terminal) $20.80 32 gems $543 835 gems 26.08x 2026-11-05 22:02 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=5percent-marble-fada) [Sealed Graffiti | Backstab graffiti](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-backstab) Hidden $20.80 32 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-13 04:43 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Backstab graffiti](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-backstab) Hidden $20.80 32 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-13 04:43 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Backstab graffiti](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-backstab) Hidden $20.80 32 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-13 04:43 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Backstab graffiti](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-backstab) Hidden $20.80 32 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-13 04:43 UTC [★ Flip Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) Hidden $20.80 32 gems $166 255 gems 7.97x 2026-11-13 04:43 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Backstab graffiti](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-backstab) [Flow](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Flow) $20.80 32 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-13 04:43 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Backstab graffiti](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-backstab) Hidden $20.80 32 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-13 04:41 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Backstab graffiti](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-backstab) Hidden $20.80 32 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-13 04:41 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Backstab graffiti](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-backstab) Hidden $20.80 32 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-13 04:41 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Backstab graffiti](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-backstab) Hidden $20.80 32 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-13 04:41 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $1,008 (48.44x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 142.7% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $142.71 on average: an expected loss of $0.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt