--- title: "5% Nuketown case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "5% Nuketown ($3.25) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 106.96% over 1,844 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/5percent-nuketown rendered: 2026-11-12T00:57Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [5% Nuketown](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/5percent-nuketown) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · 5% Nuketown A case on Clash.gg, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/5percent-nuketown?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/5percent-nuketown?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/5percent-nuketown) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/5percent-nuketown?window=all) Price · $3.25 · 5 gems Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 106.96% · 1,844 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 82 openings · below min 7 days · 103.39% ±61.51 1,445 openings 30 days · 106.96% ±54.20 1,844 openings since tracking started · 106.96% ±54.20 1,844 openings -0.5% 82.5% 165.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/5percent-nuketown?window=24h) | 82 | 62.31% ±76.2 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/5percent-nuketown?window=7d) | 1,445 | 103.39% ±61.5 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/5percent-nuketown) | 1,844 | 106.96% ±54.2 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/5percent-nuketown?window=all) | 1,844 | 106.96% ±54.2 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Clash.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Gut Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $3.25 5 gems $1,186 1,825 gems 365.0x 2026-11-07 04:34 UTC [Sticker | Howling Dawn sticker · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-howling-dawn) Hidden $3.25 5 gems $715 1,100 gems 220.0x 2026-11-07 10:19 UTC [Sticker | Howling Dawn sticker · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-howling-dawn) Hidden $3.25 5 gems $715 1,100 gems 220.0x 2026-11-03 16:27 UTC [AWP | Containment Breach (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-containment-breach-factory-new) Hidden $3.25 5 gems $299 459 gems 91.90x 2026-11-07 06:23 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=5percent-nuketown) [MP7 | Forest DDPAT (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-forest-ddpat-field-tested) Hidden $3.25 5 gems $0.03 0.04 gems 0.01x 2026-11-11 20:10 UTC [MP7 | Forest DDPAT (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-forest-ddpat-field-tested) Hidden $3.25 5 gems $0.03 0.04 gems 0.01x 2026-11-11 20:10 UTC [MP7 | Forest DDPAT (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-forest-ddpat-field-tested) Hidden $3.25 5 gems $0.03 0.04 gems 0.01x 2026-11-11 20:10 UTC [MP7 | Forest DDPAT (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-forest-ddpat-field-tested) Hidden $3.25 5 gems $0.03 0.04 gems 0.01x 2026-11-11 20:10 UTC [MP7 | Forest DDPAT (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-forest-ddpat-field-tested) Hidden $3.25 5 gems $0.03 0.04 gems 0.01x 2026-11-11 20:10 UTC [Galil AR | CAUTION! (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-caution-factory-new) [Megitsune](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Megitsune) $3.25 5 gems $22.11 34.01 gems 6.80x 2026-11-11 20:10 UTC [MP7 | Forest DDPAT (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-forest-ddpat-field-tested) Hidden $3.25 5 gems $0.03 0.04 gems 0.01x 2026-11-11 19:59 UTC [MP7 | Forest DDPAT (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-forest-ddpat-field-tested) Hidden $3.25 5 gems $0.03 0.04 gems 0.01x 2026-11-11 19:59 UTC [MP7 | Forest DDPAT (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-forest-ddpat-field-tested) Hidden $3.25 5 gems $0.03 0.04 gems 0.01x 2026-11-11 19:59 UTC [MP7 | Forest DDPAT (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-forest-ddpat-field-tested) Hidden $3.25 5 gems $0.03 0.04 gems 0.01x 2026-11-11 19:59 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $1,186 (365.0x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 107.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $106.96 on average: an expected loss of $0.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt