---
title: "5%Blue steal Daggers case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "5%Blue steal Daggers ($4.17) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 83.83% over 30 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/5percentblue-steal-daggers
rendered: 2026-11-12T13:53Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [5%Blue steal Daggers](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/5percentblue-steal-daggers)

# [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · 5%Blue steal Daggers

A case on Clash.gg, first seen 12 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/5percentblue-steal-daggers?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/5percentblue-steal-daggers?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/5percentblue-steal-daggers) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/5percentblue-steal-daggers?window=all)

Price · $4.17 · 6.42 gems

Advertised RTP · — · no catalog

Observed RTP, 30d · 83.83% · 30 openings, sample method

Variance · — · needs odds

Tail share · — · needs odds

Below price · — · needs odds

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band outside band small sample

24 hours · 30 openings · below min

7 days · 30 openings · below min

30 days · 30 openings · below min

since tracking started · 30 openings · below min

6.5% 83.8% 161.0%

**Small sample.** 30 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/5percentblue-steal-daggers?window=24h) | 30 | 83.83% ±76.5 | — | sample |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/5percentblue-steal-daggers?window=7d) | 30 | 83.83% ±76.5 | — | sample |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/5percentblue-steal-daggers) | 30 | 83.83% ±76.5 | — | sample |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/5percentblue-steal-daggers?window=all) | 30 | 83.83% ±76.5 | — | sample |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · none published

**No catalog** Clash.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.

Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=5percentblue-steal-daggers)

[M4A1-S | Golden Coil (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-golden-coil-field-tested) Hidden $4.17 6.42 gems $2.63 4.05 gems 0.63x 2026-11-12 12:26 UTC

[AK-47 | Orbit Mk01 (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-orbit-mk01-minimal-wear) Hidden $4.17 6.42 gems $7.87 12.1 gems 1.88x 2026-11-12 12:26 UTC

[P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $4.17 6.42 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-12 12:26 UTC

[P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $4.17 6.42 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-12 12:26 UTC

[StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Roadblock (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ump-45-roadblock-factory-new) Hidden $4.17 6.42 gems $0.69 1.06 gems 0.17x 2026-11-12 12:26 UTC

[M4A1-S | Golden Coil (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-golden-coil-field-tested) Hidden $4.17 6.42 gems $2.63 4.05 gems 0.63x 2026-11-12 12:26 UTC

[P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $4.17 6.42 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-12 12:26 UTC

[AK-47 | Orbit Mk01 (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-orbit-mk01-minimal-wear) Hidden $4.17 6.42 gems $7.87 12.1 gems 1.88x 2026-11-12 12:26 UTC

[StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Roadblock (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ump-45-roadblock-factory-new) Hidden $4.17 6.42 gems $0.69 1.06 gems 0.17x 2026-11-12 12:26 UTC

[P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $4.17 6.42 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-12 12:26 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 83.8% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $83.83 on average: an expected loss of $16.17 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
