--- title: "60% Profit case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "60% Profit ($72.87) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 6 items with odds, observed 72.45% over 153 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/60percent-profit rendered: 2026-11-11T23:19Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [60% Profit](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/60percent-profit) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · 60% Profit A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/60percent-profit?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/60percent-profit?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/60percent-profit) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/60percent-profit?window=all) Price · $72.87 · 112 gems Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $65.58 from 6 items Observed RTP, 30d · 72.45% · 153 openings, odds method Variance · 0.0× · of price², per opening Tail share · 60.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 40.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 4 openings · below min 7 days · 93 openings · below min 30 days · 72.45% ±3.26 153 openings since tracking started · 72.45% ±3.26 153 openings 54.0% 80.3% 106.5% **Outside band, 30 days.** Advertised 90.00% sits outside the 95% band of the observed openings (69.19% – 75.71%, 153 openings, 30 days). The band comes from the site's own odds and values; the figure is a fact about these openings, not a verdict on the case. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/60percent-profit?window=24h) | 4 | 85.83% ±20.2 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/60percent-profit?window=7d) | 93 | 59.01% ±4.18 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/60percent-profit) | 153 | 72.45% ±3.26 | −10.5σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/60percent-profit?window=all) | 153 | 72.45% ±3.26 | −10.5σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 6 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 153 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Mecha Industries (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-mecha-industries-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $79.62 122 gems | 6.1% | 9 | 7.6 | 1.18× | | [★ Gut Knife \| Lore (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-lore-well-worn) | 15.0% | $78.67 121 gems | 18.0% | 24 | 22.9 | 1.05× | | [AK-47 \| Nightwish (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-nightwish-factory-new) | 40.0% | $75.37 116 gems | 46.0% | 61 | 61.2 | 1.00× | | [M4A4 \| Neo-Noir (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-neo-noir-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $69.48 107 gems | 5.3% | 9 | 7.6 | 1.18× | | [AK-47 \| Bloodsport (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-bloodsport-factory-new) | 10.0% | $57.88 89.04 gems | 8.8% | 12 | 15.3 | 0.78× | | [MAC-10 \| Candy Apple (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-candy-apple-factory-new) | 25.0% | $41.54 63.91 gems | 15.8% | 38 | 38.3 | 0.99× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 17:55 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=60percent-profit) [AK-47 | Nightwish (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-nightwish-factory-new) Hidden $72.87 112 gems $75.37 116 gems 1.03x 2026-11-11 02:06 UTC [AK-47 | Bloodsport (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-bloodsport-factory-new) Hidden $72.87 112 gems $57.88 89.04 gems 0.79x 2026-11-11 02:06 UTC [AK-47 | Nightwish (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-nightwish-factory-new) Hidden $72.87 112 gems $75.37 116 gems 1.03x 2026-11-11 02:06 UTC [MAC-10 | Candy Apple (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-candy-apple-factory-new) [Beljit](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Beljit) $72.87 112 gems $41.54 63.91 gems 0.57x 2026-11-11 02:06 UTC [StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Mecha Industries (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-mecha-industries-factory-new) Hidden $72.87 112 gems $79.62 122 gems 1.09x 2026-11-10 16:46 UTC [AK-47 | Nightwish (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-nightwish-factory-new) Hidden $72.87 112 gems $75.37 116 gems 1.03x 2026-11-10 16:46 UTC [AK-47 | Nightwish (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-nightwish-factory-new) Hidden $72.87 112 gems $75.37 116 gems 1.03x 2026-11-10 16:46 UTC [MAC-10 | Candy Apple (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-candy-apple-factory-new) Hidden $72.87 112 gems $41.54 63.91 gems 0.57x 2026-11-10 16:46 UTC [StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Mecha Industries (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-mecha-industries-factory-new) Hidden $72.87 112 gems $79.62 122 gems 1.09x 2026-11-09 01:20 UTC [AK-47 | Nightwish (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-nightwish-factory-new) Hidden $72.87 112 gems $75.37 116 gems 1.03x 2026-11-09 01:20 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $72.87 | 90.00% | 6 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 75.0% industrial 25.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt