--- title: "777 Case case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "777 Case ($30.32) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.99% from 12 items with odds, observed 104.60% over 2,171 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/777-case rendered: 2026-11-11T13:51Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [777 Case](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/777-case) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · 777 Case A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/777-case?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/777-case?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/777-case) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/777-case?window=all) Price · $30.32 · 46.64 gems Advertised RTP · 89.99% · EV $27.28 from 12 items Observed RTP, 30d · 104.60% · 2,171 openings, odds method Variance · 1254.4× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 1,000 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 90.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 220 openings · below min 7 days · 1,796 openings · below min 30 days · 2,171 openings · below min since tracking started · 2,171 openings · below min -0.5% 240.0% 480.5% **Small sample.** 2,171 openings and 2.2 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/777-case?window=24h) | 220 | 11.66% ±468.0 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/777-case?window=7d) | 1,796 | 124.18% ±163.8 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/777-case) | 2,171 | 104.60% ±149.0 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/777-case?window=all) | 2,171 | 104.60% ±149.0 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 2,180 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Souvenir AWP \| Dragon Lore (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-dragon-lore-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $97.5K 150,000 gems | 35.7% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [EMS Katowice 2014 Legends other · base](https://gambatracker.com/items/ems-katowice-2014-legends) | 1 in 1,111 | $15K 23,096 gems | 49.5% | 4 | 2.0 | 2.04× | | [ESL One Cologne 2014 Legends other · base](https://gambatracker.com/items/esl-one-cologne-2014-legends) | 1 in 10 | $38.14 58.67 gems | 13.8% | 217 | 215.8 | 1.01× | | [Stockholm 2021 Legends Sticker Capsule container · 6](https://gambatracker.com/items/stockholm-2021-legends-sticker-capsule) | 10.0% | $0.77 1.18 gems | 0.3% | 202 | 218.0 | 0.93× | | [Shanghai 2024 Legends Sticker Capsule container · common](https://gambatracker.com/items/shanghai-2024-legends-sticker-capsule) | 10.0% | $0.57 0.88 gems | 0.2% | 214 | 218.0 | 0.98× | | [Antwerp 2022 Legends Sticker Capsule container · Sticker Capsule](https://gambatracker.com/items/antwerp-2022-legends-sticker-capsule) | 10.0% | $0.25 0.38 gems | 0.1% | 220 | 218.0 | 1.01× | | [Copenhagen 2024 Legends Sticker Capsule container](https://gambatracker.com/items/copenhagen-2024-legends-sticker-capsule) | 10.0% | $0.23 0.36 gems | 0.1% | 236 | 218.0 | 1.08× | | [Rio 2022 Legends Sticker Capsule container · Sticker Capsule](https://gambatracker.com/items/rio-2022-legends-sticker-capsule) | 10.0% | $0.16 0.25 gems | 0.1% | 221 | 218.0 | 1.01× | | [2020 RMR Legends other · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/2020-rmr-legends) | 10.0% | $0.14 0.22 gems | 0.1% | 217 | 218.0 | 1.00× | | [Budapest 2025 Legends Sticker Capsule container](https://gambatracker.com/items/budapest-2025-legends-sticker-capsule) | 10.0% | $0.12 0.19 gems | 0.0% | 235 | 218.0 | 1.08× | | [Austin 2025 Legends Sticker Capsule container · common](https://gambatracker.com/items/austin-2025-legends-sticker-capsule) | 10.0% | $0.12 0.19 gems | 0.0% | 196 | 218.0 | 0.90× | | [Paris 2023 Legends Sticker Capsule container](https://gambatracker.com/items/paris-2023-legends-sticker-capsule) | 10.0% | $0.07 0.1 gems | 0.0% | 218 | 218.0 | 1.00× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [EMS Katowice 2014 Legends other · base](https://gambatracker.com/items/ems-katowice-2014-legends) Hidden $30.32 46.64 gems $15K 23,096 gems 495.2x 2026-11-06 19:06 UTC [EMS Katowice 2014 Legends other · base](https://gambatracker.com/items/ems-katowice-2014-legends) Hidden $30.32 46.64 gems $15K 23,096 gems 495.2x 2026-11-05 13:25 UTC [EMS Katowice 2014 Legends other · base](https://gambatracker.com/items/ems-katowice-2014-legends) Hidden $30.32 46.64 gems $15K 23,096 gems 495.2x 2026-11-05 11:58 UTC [EMS Katowice 2014 Legends other · base](https://gambatracker.com/items/ems-katowice-2014-legends) Hidden $30.32 46.64 gems $15K 23,096 gems 495.2x 2026-11-04 14:55 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=777-case) [Rio 2022 Legends Sticker Capsule container · Sticker Capsule](https://gambatracker.com/items/rio-2022-legends-sticker-capsule) Hidden $30.32 46.64 gems $0.16 0.25 gems 0.01x 2026-11-11 13:38 UTC [Austin 2025 Legends Sticker Capsule container · common](https://gambatracker.com/items/austin-2025-legends-sticker-capsule) Hidden $30.32 46.64 gems $0.12 0.19 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:38 UTC [Austin 2025 Legends Sticker Capsule container · common](https://gambatracker.com/items/austin-2025-legends-sticker-capsule) Hidden $30.32 46.64 gems $0.12 0.19 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:38 UTC [Paris 2023 Legends Sticker Capsule container](https://gambatracker.com/items/paris-2023-legends-sticker-capsule) Hidden $30.32 46.64 gems $0.07 0.1 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:38 UTC [Budapest 2025 Legends Sticker Capsule container](https://gambatracker.com/items/budapest-2025-legends-sticker-capsule) Hidden $30.32 46.64 gems $0.12 0.19 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:38 UTC [Paris 2023 Legends Sticker Capsule container](https://gambatracker.com/items/paris-2023-legends-sticker-capsule) [Thomas the termonuclear bomb](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Thomas%20the%20termonuclear%20bomb) $30.32 46.64 gems $0.07 0.1 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:38 UTC [Copenhagen 2024 Legends Sticker Capsule container](https://gambatracker.com/items/copenhagen-2024-legends-sticker-capsule) Hidden $30.32 46.64 gems $0.23 0.36 gems 0.01x 2026-11-11 13:37 UTC [Budapest 2025 Legends Sticker Capsule container](https://gambatracker.com/items/budapest-2025-legends-sticker-capsule) Hidden $30.32 46.64 gems $0.12 0.19 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:37 UTC [2020 RMR Legends other · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/2020-rmr-legends) Hidden $30.32 46.64 gems $0.14 0.22 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:37 UTC [Antwerp 2022 Legends Sticker Capsule container · Sticker Capsule](https://gambatracker.com/items/antwerp-2022-legends-sticker-capsule) Hidden $30.32 46.64 gems $0.25 0.38 gems 0.01x 2026-11-11 13:37 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 01:59 UTC | $30.32 | 89.99% | 12 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed 6 10.0% covert 0.0% base 10.0% common 20.0% Sticker Capsule 20.0% other 30.0% #B0C3D9 10.0% best hit $15K (495.2x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.99 on average: an expected loss of $10.01 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt