---
title: "7% Big Winz case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "7% Big Winz ($16.25) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 84.42% over 441 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/7percent-big-winz
rendered: 2026-11-12T10:58Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [7% Big Winz](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/7percent-big-winz)

# [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · 7% Big Winz

A case on Clash.gg, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/7percent-big-winz?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/7percent-big-winz?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/7percent-big-winz) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/7percent-big-winz?window=all)

Price · $16.25 · 25 gems

Advertised RTP · — · no catalog

Observed RTP, 30d · 84.42% · 441 openings, sample method

Variance · — · needs odds

Tail share · — · needs odds

Below price · — · needs odds

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band outside band small sample

7 days · 168 openings · below min

30 days · 441 openings · below min

since tracking started · 441 openings · below min

29.0% 76.0% 123.0%

**Small sample.** 441 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/7percent-big-winz?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/7percent-big-winz?window=7d) | 168 | 75.92% ±46.5 | — | sample |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/7percent-big-winz) | 441 | 84.42% ±33.4 | — | sample |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/7percent-big-winz?window=all) | 441 | 84.42% ±33.4 | — | sample |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · none published

**No catalog** Clash.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.

Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ Talon Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-case-hardened-factory-new) [Polk](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Polk) $16.25 25 gems $536 825 gems 33.01x 2026-11-04 18:33 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=7percent-big-winz)

[Sticker | Say Cheese (Holo) sticker · common](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-say-cheese-holo) Hidden $16.25 25 gems $0.34 0.53 gems 0.02x 2026-11-10 21:04 UTC

[★ Gut Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) Hidden $16.25 25 gems $358 550 gems 22.00x 2026-11-10 21:04 UTC

[Sticker | Say Cheese (Holo) sticker · common](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-say-cheese-holo) Hidden $16.25 25 gems $0.34 0.53 gems 0.02x 2026-11-10 21:04 UTC

[Sticker | Say Cheese (Holo) sticker · common](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-say-cheese-holo) Hidden $16.25 25 gems $0.34 0.53 gems 0.02x 2026-11-10 21:04 UTC

[Sticker | Say Cheese (Holo) sticker · common](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-say-cheese-holo) Hidden $16.25 25 gems $0.34 0.53 gems 0.02x 2026-11-10 21:04 UTC

[★ Kukri Knife | Urban Masked (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/kukri-knife-urban-masked-factory-new) [I'mACUNTⱭ͞ ̶̶͞ ̶͞͞ ̶͞͞ ̶͞͞ ̶͞͞ﻝﮞ](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/I'mACUNT%E2%B1%AD%CD%9E%20%CC%B6%CC%B6%CD%9E%20%CC%B6%CD%9E%CD%9E%20%CC%B6%CD%9E%CD%9E%20%CC%B6%CD%9E%CD%9E%20%CC%B6%CD%9E%CD%9E%EF%BB%9D%EF%AE%9E) $16.25 25 gems $251 386 gems 15.44x 2026-11-10 21:04 UTC

[Sticker | Say Cheese (Holo) sticker · common](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-say-cheese-holo) Hidden $16.25 25 gems $0.34 0.53 gems 0.02x 2026-11-10 21:04 UTC

[Sticker | Say Cheese (Holo) sticker · common](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-say-cheese-holo) Hidden $16.25 25 gems $0.34 0.53 gems 0.02x 2026-11-10 21:04 UTC

[Sticker | Say Cheese (Holo) sticker · common](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-say-cheese-holo) Hidden $16.25 25 gems $0.34 0.53 gems 0.02x 2026-11-10 21:04 UTC

[Sticker | Say Cheese (Holo) sticker · common](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-say-cheese-holo) Hidden $16.25 25 gems $0.34 0.53 gems 0.02x 2026-11-10 21:04 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed best hit $536 (33.01x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 84.4% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $84.42 on average: an expected loss of $15.58 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
