--- title: "7% LUCK OR 93% FUCK case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "7% LUCK OR 93% FUCK ($4.77) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 298.09% over 10 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/7percent-luck-or-93percent-fuck rendered: 2026-11-13T03:54Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [7% LUCK OR 93% FUCK](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/7percent-luck-or-93percent-fuck) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · 7% LUCK OR 93% FUCK A case on Clash.gg, first seen 12 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/7percent-luck-or-93percent-fuck?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/7percent-luck-or-93percent-fuck?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/7percent-luck-or-93percent-fuck) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/7percent-luck-or-93percent-fuck?window=all) Price · $4.77 · 7.34 gems Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 298.09% · 10 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 10 openings · below min 7 days · 10 openings · below min 30 days · 10 openings · below min since tracking started · 10 openings · below min -0.5% 343.5% 687.5% **Small sample.** 10 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/7percent-luck-or-93percent-fuck?window=24h) | 10 | 298.09% ±388.7 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/7percent-luck-or-93percent-fuck?window=7d) | 10 | 298.09% ±388.7 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/7percent-luck-or-93percent-fuck) | 10 | 298.09% ±388.7 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/7percent-luck-or-93percent-fuck?window=all) | 10 | 298.09% ±388.7 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Clash.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=7percent-luck-or-93percent-fuck) [Sticker | Toy Tiger sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-toy-tiger) Hidden $4.77 7.34 gems $0.05 0.07 gems 0.01x 2026-11-13 00:09 UTC [Sticker | Toy Tiger sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-toy-tiger) Hidden $4.77 7.34 gems $0.05 0.07 gems 0.01x 2026-11-13 00:09 UTC [Sticker | Toy Tiger sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-toy-tiger) Hidden $4.77 7.34 gems $0.05 0.07 gems 0.01x 2026-11-13 00:09 UTC [Sticker | Toy Tiger sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-toy-tiger) Hidden $4.77 7.34 gems $0.05 0.07 gems 0.01x 2026-11-13 00:09 UTC [★ Gut Knife | Damascus Steel (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-damascus-steel-factory-new) Hidden $4.77 7.34 gems $68.02 105 gems 14.26x 2026-11-13 00:09 UTC [Sticker | Toy Tiger sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-toy-tiger) [el zes](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/el%20zes) $4.77 7.34 gems $0.05 0.07 gems 0.01x 2026-11-13 00:09 UTC [Sticker | Toy Tiger sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-toy-tiger) Hidden $4.77 7.34 gems $0.05 0.07 gems 0.01x 2026-11-12 14:32 UTC [Sticker | Toy Tiger sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-toy-tiger) Hidden $4.77 7.34 gems $0.05 0.07 gems 0.01x 2026-11-12 14:32 UTC [Sticker | Toy Tiger sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-toy-tiger) Hidden $4.77 7.34 gems $0.05 0.07 gems 0.01x 2026-11-12 14:32 UTC [AWP | Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-asiimov-field-tested) [Hakan Şükür](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Hakan%20%C5%9E%C3%BCk%C3%BCr) $4.77 7.34 gems $73.84 114 gems 15.48x 2026-11-12 14:32 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 298.1% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $298.09 on average: an expected loss of $0.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt