--- title: "Abyss case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Abyss ($63.43) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 10 items with odds, observed 105.34% over 440 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/abyss rendered: 2026-11-11T14:28Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Abyss](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/abyss) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Abyss A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/abyss?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/abyss?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/abyss) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/abyss?window=all) Price · $63.43 · 97.59 gems Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $57.09 from 10 items Observed RTP, 30d · 105.34% · 440 openings, odds method Variance · 9.4× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 33 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 80.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 34 openings · below min 7 days · 112.55% ±30.09 399 openings 30 days · 105.34% ±28.65 440 openings since tracking started · 105.34% ±28.65 440 openings -0.5% 98.8% 198.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/abyss?window=24h) | 34 | 94.05% ±103.1 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/abyss?window=7d) | 399 | 112.55% ±30.1 | +1.5σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/abyss) | 440 | 105.34% ±28.7 | +1.0σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/abyss?window=all) | 440 | 105.34% ±28.7 | +1.0σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 10 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 446 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [M4A4 \| Poseidon (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-poseidon-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $1,149 1,768 gems | 60.4% | 19 | 13.4 | 1.42× | | [AWP \| Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-asiimov-field-tested) | 1 in 14 | $95.70 147 gems | 11.7% | 33 | 31.2 | 1.06× | | [AK-47 \| Aquamarine Revenge (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-aquamarine-revenge-factory-new) | 10.0% | $69.88 108 gems | 12.2% | 36 | 44.6 | 0.81× | | [Five-SeveN \| Hyper Beast (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-hyper-beast-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $58.87 90.57 gems | 5.2% | 32 | 22.3 | 1.43× | | [USP-S \| Orion (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-orion-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $42.25 65 gems | 3.7% | 20 | 22.3 | 0.90× | | [Desert Eagle \| Night (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-night-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $28.01 43.09 gems | 2.5% | 25 | 22.3 | 1.12× | | [M4A1-S \| Guardian (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-guardian-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $20.79 31.99 gems | 1.8% | 10 | 22.3 | 0.45× | | [P250 \| Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-asiimov-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $10.76 16.55 gems | 0.9% | 25 | 22.3 | 1.12× | | [Glock-18 \| Water Elemental (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-water-elemental-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $8.68 13.35 gems | 0.8% | 18 | 22.3 | 0.81× | | [CZ75-Auto \| Pole Position (Factory New) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-pole-position-factory-new) | 50.0% | $0.91 1.4 gems | 0.8% | 228 | 223.0 | 1.02× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [M4A4 | Poseidon (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-poseidon-factory-new) Hidden $63.43 97.59 gems $1,149 1,768 gems 18.12x 2026-11-11 12:39 UTC [M4A4 | Poseidon (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-poseidon-factory-new) Hidden $63.43 97.59 gems $1,149 1,768 gems 18.12x 2026-11-10 01:12 UTC [M4A4 | Poseidon (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-poseidon-factory-new) Hidden $63.43 97.59 gems $1,149 1,768 gems 18.12x 2026-11-09 16:23 UTC [M4A4 | Poseidon (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-poseidon-factory-new) Hidden $63.43 97.59 gems $1,149 1,768 gems 18.12x 2026-11-07 11:39 UTC [M4A4 | Poseidon (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-poseidon-factory-new) Hidden $63.43 97.59 gems $1,149 1,768 gems 18.12x 2026-11-07 11:39 UTC [M4A4 | Poseidon (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-poseidon-factory-new) Hidden $63.43 97.59 gems $1,149 1,768 gems 18.12x 2026-11-07 00:01 UTC [M4A4 | Poseidon (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-poseidon-factory-new) Hidden $63.43 97.59 gems $1,149 1,768 gems 18.12x 2026-11-07 00:01 UTC [M4A4 | Poseidon (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-poseidon-factory-new) Hidden $63.43 97.59 gems $1,149 1,768 gems 18.12x 2026-11-07 00:01 UTC [M4A4 | Poseidon (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-poseidon-factory-new) [Trole](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Trole) $63.43 97.59 gems $1,149 1,768 gems 18.12x 2026-11-06 23:07 UTC [M4A4 | Poseidon (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-poseidon-factory-new) Hidden $63.43 97.59 gems $1,149 1,768 gems 18.12x 2026-11-06 18:13 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=abyss) [CZ75-Auto | Pole Position (Factory New) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-pole-position-factory-new) Hidden $63.43 97.59 gems $0.91 1.4 gems 0.01x 2026-11-11 13:11 UTC [Desert Eagle | Night (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-night-factory-new) Hidden $63.43 97.59 gems $28.01 43.09 gems 0.44x 2026-11-11 13:11 UTC [CZ75-Auto | Pole Position (Factory New) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-pole-position-factory-new) [FarelEnergy skinbet.gg](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/FarelEnergy%20skinbet.gg) $63.43 97.59 gems $0.91 1.4 gems 0.01x 2026-11-11 13:11 UTC [AWP | Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-asiimov-field-tested) Hidden $63.43 97.59 gems $95.70 147 gems 1.51x 2026-11-11 12:43 UTC [CZ75-Auto | Pole Position (Factory New) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-pole-position-factory-new) Hidden $63.43 97.59 gems $0.91 1.4 gems 0.01x 2026-11-11 12:43 UTC [Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-hyper-beast-factory-new) [FarelEnergy skinbet.gg](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/FarelEnergy%20skinbet.gg) $63.43 97.59 gems $58.87 90.57 gems 0.93x 2026-11-11 12:43 UTC [CZ75-Auto | Pole Position (Factory New) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-pole-position-factory-new) Hidden $63.43 97.59 gems $0.91 1.4 gems 0.01x 2026-11-11 12:39 UTC [M4A4 | Poseidon (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-poseidon-factory-new) Hidden $63.43 97.59 gems $1,149 1,768 gems 18.12x 2026-11-11 12:39 UTC [CZ75-Auto | Pole Position (Factory New) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-pole-position-factory-new) Hidden $63.43 97.59 gems $0.91 1.4 gems 0.01x 2026-11-11 12:39 UTC [AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-aquamarine-revenge-factory-new) Hidden $63.43 97.59 gems $69.88 108 gems 1.10x 2026-11-11 12:39 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 01:59 UTC | $63.43 | 90.00% | 10 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed classified 23.0% covert 22.0% industrial 5.0% #8847ff 50.0% best hit $1,149 (18.12x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt