--- title: "Aces case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Aces ($1,318.14) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 6 items with odds, observed 65.88% over 412 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/aces rendered: 2026-11-11T13:48Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Aces](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/aces) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Aces A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/aces?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/aces?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/aces) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/aces?window=all) Price · $1,318.14 · 2,028 gems Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $1,186.32 from 6 items Observed RTP, 30d · 65.88% · 412 openings, odds method Variance · 25.1× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 33 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 97.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 54 openings · below min 7 days · 66.74% ±55.25 316 openings 30 days · 65.88% ±48.38 412 openings since tracking started · 65.88% ±48.38 412 openings -0.5% 95.0% 190.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/aces?window=24h) | 54 | 56.03% ±133.6 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/aces?window=7d) | 316 | 66.74% ±55.2 | −0.8σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/aces) | 412 | 65.88% ±48.4 | −1.0σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/aces?window=all) | 412 | 65.88% ±48.4 | −1.0σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 6 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 420 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Pandora's Box (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-pandoras-box-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $38.7K 59,604 gems | 98.0% | 9 | 12.6 | 0.71× | | [M4A1-S \| Hyper Beast (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hyper-beast-factory-new) | 17.0% | $89.55 138 gems | 1.3% | 60 | 71.4 | 0.84× | | [M4A4 \| 龍王 (Dragon King) (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-dragon-king-factory-new) | 20.0% | $18.52 28.49 gems | 0.3% | 92 | 84.0 | 1.10× | | [M4A1-S \| Decimator (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-decimator-factory-new) | 20.0% | $17.04 26.21 gems | 0.3% | 86 | 84.0 | 1.02× | | [AWP \| Fever Dream (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fever-dream-factory-new) | 20.0% | $7.79 11.99 gems | 0.1% | 88 | 84.0 | 1.05× | | [Sticker \| Ace Clutch Co. (Holo) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ace-clutch-co-holo) | 20.0% | $0.83 1.27 gems | 0.0% | 85 | 84.0 | 1.01× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Sport Gloves | Pandora's Box (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-pandoras-box-factory-new) Hidden $1,318 2,028 gems $38.7K 59,604 gems 29.39x 2026-11-10 15:32 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Pandora's Box (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-pandoras-box-factory-new) Hidden $1,318 2,028 gems $38.7K 59,604 gems 29.39x 2026-11-07 01:13 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Pandora's Box (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-pandoras-box-factory-new) Hidden $1,318 2,028 gems $38.7K 59,604 gems 29.39x 2026-11-05 23:06 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Pandora's Box (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-pandoras-box-factory-new) [Hydrarewards.com](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Hydrarewards.com) $1,318 2,028 gems $38.7K 59,604 gems 29.39x 2026-11-05 12:21 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Pandora's Box (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-pandoras-box-factory-new) Hidden $1,318 2,028 gems $38.7K 59,604 gems 29.39x 2026-11-05 12:21 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Pandora's Box (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-pandoras-box-factory-new) Hidden $1,318 2,028 gems $38.7K 59,604 gems 29.39x 2026-11-04 23:45 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Pandora's Box (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-pandoras-box-factory-new) Hidden $1,318 2,028 gems $38.7K 59,604 gems 29.39x 2026-11-04 20:58 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Pandora's Box (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-pandoras-box-factory-new) Hidden $1,318 2,028 gems $38.7K 59,604 gems 29.39x 2026-11-03 05:39 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Pandora's Box (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-pandoras-box-factory-new) Hidden $1,318 2,028 gems $38.7K 59,604 gems 29.39x 2026-11-03 05:23 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=aces) [AWP | Fever Dream (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fever-dream-factory-new) Hidden $1,318 2,028 gems $7.79 11.99 gems 0.01x 2026-11-11 09:58 UTC [M4A1-S | Hyper Beast (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hyper-beast-factory-new) Hidden $1,318 2,028 gems $89.55 138 gems 0.07x 2026-11-11 09:58 UTC [M4A1-S | Hyper Beast (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hyper-beast-factory-new) Hidden $1,318 2,028 gems $89.55 138 gems 0.07x 2026-11-11 09:58 UTC [M4A1-S | Decimator (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-decimator-factory-new) Hidden $1,318 2,028 gems $17.04 26.21 gems 0.01x 2026-11-11 09:58 UTC [Sticker | Ace Clutch Co. (Holo) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ace-clutch-co-holo) Hidden $1,318 2,028 gems $0.83 1.27 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 09:58 UTC [AWP | Fever Dream (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fever-dream-factory-new) [Hydrarewards.com](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Hydrarewards.com) $1,318 2,028 gems $7.79 11.99 gems 0.01x 2026-11-11 09:58 UTC [Sticker | Ace Clutch Co. (Holo) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ace-clutch-co-holo) Hidden $1,318 2,028 gems $0.83 1.27 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 09:53 UTC [AWP | Fever Dream (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fever-dream-factory-new) Hidden $1,318 2,028 gems $7.79 11.99 gems 0.01x 2026-11-11 09:53 UTC [M4A4 | 龍王 (Dragon King) (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-dragon-king-factory-new) Hidden $1,318 2,028 gems $18.52 28.49 gems 0.01x 2026-11-11 09:53 UTC [M4A1-S | Hyper Beast (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hyper-beast-factory-new) Hidden $1,318 2,028 gems $89.55 138 gems 0.07x 2026-11-11 09:53 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $1,318 | 90.00% | 6 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed legendary 3.0% covert 17.0% classified 60.0% remarkable 20.0% best hit $38.7K (29.39x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt