--- title: "ADDICTED Case case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "ADDICTED Case ($61.09) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 7 items with odds, observed 98.93% over 6,177 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/addicted-case rendered: 2026-11-11T13:35Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [ADDICTED Case](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/addicted-case) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · ADDICTED Case A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/addicted-case?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/addicted-case?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/addicted-case) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/addicted-case?window=all) Price · $61.09 · 93.99 gems Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $54.98 from 7 items Observed RTP, 30d · 98.93% · 6,177 openings, odds method Variance · 24.1× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 100 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 93.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 239 openings · below min 7 days · 98.81% ±13.19 5,331 openings 30 days · 98.93% ±12.25 6,177 openings since tracking started · 98.93% ±12.25 6,177 openings 40.0% 102.8% 165.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/addicted-case?window=24h) | 239 | 102.81% ±62.3 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/addicted-case?window=7d) | 5,331 | 98.81% ±13.2 | +1.3σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/addicted-case) | 6,177 | 98.93% ±12.3 | +1.4σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/addicted-case?window=all) | 6,177 | 98.93% ±12.3 | +1.4σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 7 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 6,255 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AWP \| Dragon Lore (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-battle-scarred) | 1 in 100 | $2,803 4,312 gems | 51.0% | 76 | 62.5 | 1.22× | | [★ Bayonet \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $737 1,134 gems | 13.4% | 55 | 62.5 | 0.88× | | [AK-47 \| Fire Serpent (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fire-serpent-field-tested) | 1 in 50 | $555 854 gems | 20.2% | 124 | 125.1 | 0.99× | | [M4A1-S \| Hot Rod (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hot-rod-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $552 850 gems | 5.0% | 28 | 31.3 | 0.90× | | [AK-47 \| Fire Serpent (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fire-serpent-battle-scarred) | 1 in 100 | $325 501 gems | 5.9% | 63 | 62.5 | 1.01× | | [AK-47 \| Vulcan (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-vulcan-field-tested) | 1 in 67 | $154 236 gems | 4.2% | 111 | 93.8 | 1.18× | | [P250 \| Sand Dune (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-factory-new) | 93.0% | $0.18 0.28 gems | 0.3% | 5,798 | 5817.2 | 1.00× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [AWP | Dragon Lore (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-battle-scarred) Hidden $61.09 93.99 gems $2,803 4,312 gems 45.88x 2026-11-11 13:06 UTC [AWP | Dragon Lore (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-battle-scarred) Hidden $61.09 93.99 gems $2,803 4,312 gems 45.88x 2026-11-11 13:03 UTC [AWP | Dragon Lore (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-battle-scarred) Hidden $61.09 93.99 gems $2,803 4,312 gems 45.88x 2026-11-10 15:26 UTC [AWP | Dragon Lore (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-battle-scarred) Hidden $61.09 93.99 gems $2,803 4,312 gems 45.88x 2026-11-10 00:16 UTC [AWP | Dragon Lore (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-battle-scarred) [RMV1207](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/RMV1207) $61.09 93.99 gems $2,803 4,312 gems 45.88x 2026-11-09 19:59 UTC [AWP | Dragon Lore (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-battle-scarred) Hidden $61.09 93.99 gems $2,803 4,312 gems 45.88x 2026-11-09 18:00 UTC [AWP | Dragon Lore (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-battle-scarred) Hidden $61.09 93.99 gems $2,803 4,312 gems 45.88x 2026-11-09 04:38 UTC [AWP | Dragon Lore (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-battle-scarred) Hidden $61.09 93.99 gems $2,803 4,312 gems 45.88x 2026-11-08 10:59 UTC [AWP | Dragon Lore (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-battle-scarred) Hidden $61.09 93.99 gems $2,803 4,312 gems 45.88x 2026-11-08 10:17 UTC [AWP | Dragon Lore (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-battle-scarred) Hidden $61.09 93.99 gems $2,803 4,312 gems 45.88x 2026-11-08 05:55 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=addicted-case) [P250 | Sand Dune (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-factory-new) Hidden $61.09 93.99 gems $0.18 0.28 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:35 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-factory-new) Hidden $61.09 93.99 gems $0.18 0.28 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:35 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-factory-new) Hidden $61.09 93.99 gems $0.18 0.28 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:35 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-factory-new) Hidden $61.09 93.99 gems $0.18 0.28 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:35 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-factory-new) Hidden $61.09 93.99 gems $0.18 0.28 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:35 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-factory-new) [☦︎Theta](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/%E2%98%A6%EF%B8%8ETheta) $61.09 93.99 gems $0.18 0.28 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:35 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-factory-new) Hidden $61.09 93.99 gems $0.18 0.28 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:13 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-factory-new) Hidden $61.09 93.99 gems $0.18 0.28 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:13 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-factory-new) [( ͡° ᴥ ͡° )](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/%28%20%CD%A1%C2%B0%20%E1%B4%A5%20%CD%A1%C2%B0%20%29) $61.09 93.99 gems $0.18 0.28 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:13 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-factory-new) Hidden $61.09 93.99 gems $0.18 0.28 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:11 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $61.09 | 90.00% | 7 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 6.5% classified 0.5% consumer 93.0% best hit $2,803 (45.88x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt