--- title: "After Hours case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "After Hours ($26.17) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 10 items with odds, observed 102.01% over 1,786 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/after-hours rendered: 2026-11-11T13:40Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [After Hours](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/after-hours) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · After Hours A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/after-hours?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/after-hours?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/after-hours) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/after-hours?window=all) Price · $26.17 · 40.26 gems Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $23.55 from 10 items Observed RTP, 30d · 102.01% · 1,786 openings, odds method Variance · 18.7× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 20 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 85.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 88.96% ±64.45 173 openings 7 days · 95.59% ±21.30 1,584 openings 30 days · 102.01% ±20.06 1,786 openings since tracking started · 102.01% ±20.06 1,786 openings 24.0% 89.0% 154.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/after-hours?window=24h) | 173 | 88.96% ±64.4 | −0.0σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/after-hours?window=7d) | 1,584 | 95.59% ±21.3 | +0.5σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/after-hours) | 1,786 | 102.01% ±20.1 | +1.2σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/after-hours?window=all) | 1,786 | 102.01% ±20.1 | +1.2σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 10 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,817 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Fade (Minimal Wear) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 400 | $1,394 2,144 gems | 14.8% | 6 | 4.5 | 1.32× | | [★ Specialist Gloves \| Fade (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 133 | $1,015 1,561 gems | 32.3% | 17 | 13.6 | 1.25× | | [M4A1-S \| Fade (Minimal Wear) weapon · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 25 | $120 184 gems | 20.3% | 69 | 72.7 | 0.95× | | [Glock-18 \| Fully Tuned (Minimal Wear) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-fully-tuned-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20 | $53.96 83.02 gems | 11.5% | 107 | 90.9 | 1.18× | | [M4A4 \| Temukau (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-temukau-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20 | $27.54 42.37 gems | 5.8% | 76 | 90.9 | 0.84× | | [USP-S \| Monster Mashup (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-monster-mashup-minimal-wear) | 10.0% | $15.75 24.23 gems | 6.7% | 172 | 181.7 | 0.95× | | [MAG-7 \| Bulldozer (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-bulldozer-field-tested) | 15.0% | $6.10 9.39 gems | 3.9% | 267 | 272.6 | 0.98× | | [Nova \| Smart Gun (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-smart-gun-minimal-wear) | 20.0% | $2.79 4.29 gems | 2.4% | 362 | 363.4 | 1.00× | | [Sawed-Off \| Kiss♥Love (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-kiss-love-field-tested) | 20.0% | $1.95 3 gems | 1.7% | 373 | 363.4 | 1.03× | | [XM1014 \| Monster Melt (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-monster-melt-field-tested) | 20.0% | $0.80 1.23 gems | 0.7% | 368 | 363.4 | 1.01× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Butterfly Knife | Fade (Minimal Wear) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-fade-minimal-wear) Hidden $26.17 40.26 gems $1,394 2,144 gems 53.25x 2026-11-06 18:38 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Fade (Minimal Wear) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-fade-minimal-wear) Hidden $26.17 40.26 gems $1,394 2,144 gems 53.25x 2026-11-05 12:40 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Fade (Minimal Wear) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-fade-minimal-wear) Hidden $26.17 40.26 gems $1,394 2,144 gems 53.25x 2026-11-05 12:02 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Fade (Minimal Wear) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-fade-minimal-wear) Hidden $26.17 40.26 gems $1,394 2,144 gems 53.25x 2026-11-04 09:02 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Fade (Minimal Wear) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-fade-minimal-wear) [𝗚︎𝗲︎𝗲︎𝗴](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/%F0%9D%97%9A%EF%B8%8E%F0%9D%97%B2%EF%B8%8E%F0%9D%97%B2%EF%B8%8E%F0%9D%97%B4) $26.17 40.26 gems $1,394 2,144 gems 53.25x 2026-11-04 06:17 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Fade (Minimal Wear) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-fade-minimal-wear) Hidden $26.17 40.26 gems $1,394 2,144 gems 53.25x 2026-11-03 02:23 UTC [★ Specialist Gloves | Fade (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-fade-factory-new) [Daxo](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Daxo) $26.17 40.26 gems $1,015 1,561 gems 38.77x 2026-11-11 10:56 UTC [★ Specialist Gloves | Fade (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-fade-factory-new) Hidden $26.17 40.26 gems $1,015 1,561 gems 38.77x 2026-11-11 08:51 UTC [★ Specialist Gloves | Fade (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-fade-factory-new) Hidden $26.17 40.26 gems $1,015 1,561 gems 38.77x 2026-11-09 20:21 UTC [★ Specialist Gloves | Fade (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-fade-factory-new) [Rewu](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Rewu) $26.17 40.26 gems $1,015 1,561 gems 38.77x 2026-11-09 14:20 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=after-hours) [M4A4 | Temukau (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-temukau-minimal-wear) Hidden $26.17 40.26 gems $27.54 42.37 gems 1.05x 2026-11-11 12:35 UTC [Nova | Smart Gun (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-smart-gun-minimal-wear) Hidden $26.17 40.26 gems $2.79 4.29 gems 0.11x 2026-11-11 12:35 UTC [XM1014 | Monster Melt (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-monster-melt-field-tested) Hidden $26.17 40.26 gems $0.80 1.23 gems 0.03x 2026-11-11 12:35 UTC [M4A4 | Temukau (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-temukau-minimal-wear) Hidden $26.17 40.26 gems $27.54 42.37 gems 1.05x 2026-11-11 12:35 UTC [Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-kiss-love-field-tested) Hidden $26.17 40.26 gems $1.95 3 gems 0.07x 2026-11-11 12:35 UTC [Nova | Smart Gun (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-smart-gun-minimal-wear) [Vytiokas](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Vytiokas) $26.17 40.26 gems $2.79 4.29 gems 0.11x 2026-11-11 12:35 UTC [MAG-7 | Bulldozer (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-bulldozer-field-tested) Hidden $26.17 40.26 gems $6.10 9.39 gems 0.23x 2026-11-11 12:33 UTC [USP-S | Monster Mashup (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-monster-mashup-minimal-wear) Hidden $26.17 40.26 gems $15.75 24.23 gems 0.60x 2026-11-11 12:33 UTC [Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Minimal Wear) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-fully-tuned-minimal-wear) [Vytiokas](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Vytiokas) $26.17 40.26 gems $53.96 83.02 gems 2.06x 2026-11-11 12:33 UTC [USP-S | Monster Mashup (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-monster-mashup-minimal-wear) Hidden $26.17 40.26 gems $15.75 24.23 gems 0.60x 2026-11-11 12:31 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $26.17 | 90.00% | 10 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed epic 4.3% legendary 0.8% rare 5.0% covert 5.0% classified 10.0% #8847ff 15.0% restricted 20.0% pink 20.0% violet 20.0% best hit $1,394 (53.25x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt