--- title: "All Risk case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "All Risk ($73.15) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 8 items with odds, observed 82.57% over 1,531 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/all-risk rendered: 2026-11-11T15:55Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [All Risk](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/all-risk) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · All Risk A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/all-risk?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/all-risk?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/all-risk) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/all-risk?window=all) Price · $73.15 · 113 gems Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $65.83 from 8 items Observed RTP, 30d · 82.57% · 1,531 openings, odds method Variance · 72.6× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 100 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 99.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 94 openings · below min 7 days · 84.66% ±44.88 1,385 openings 30 days · 82.57% ±42.69 1,531 openings since tracking started · 82.57% ±42.69 1,531 openings -0.5% 133.8% 268.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/all-risk?window=24h) | 94 | 95.28% ±172.3 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/all-risk?window=7d) | 1,385 | 84.66% ±44.9 | −0.2σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/all-risk) | 1,531 | 82.57% ±42.7 | −0.3σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/all-risk?window=all) | 1,531 | 82.57% ±42.7 | −0.3σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,688 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AK-47 \| Wild Lotus (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $6,268 9,643 gems | 95.2% | 17 | 16.9 | 1.01× | | [Glock-18 \| Sand Dune (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-sand-dune-minimal-wear) | 11.0% | $12.69 19.53 gems | 2.1% | 190 | 185.7 | 1.02× | | [SSG 08 \| Sand Dune (Minimal Wear) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-sand-dune-minimal-wear) | 19.0% | $5.62 8.65 gems | 1.6% | 293 | 320.7 | 0.91× | | [MAG-7 \| Sand Dune (Minimal Wear) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-sand-dune-minimal-wear) | 22.0% | $2.70 4.16 gems | 0.9% | 347 | 371.4 | 0.93× | | [SG 553 \| Bleached (Factory New) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-bleached-factory-new) | 18.0% | $0.40 0.61 gems | 0.1% | 321 | 303.8 | 1.06× | | [P250 \| Sand Dune (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-factory-new) | 11.0% | $0.18 0.28 gems | 0.0% | 210 | 185.7 | 1.13× | | [Nova \| Sand Dune (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-sand-dune-factory-new) | 1 in 13 | $0.04 0.06 gems | 0.0% | 158 | 135.0 | 1.17× | | [MP9 \| Sand Dashed (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-minimal-wear) | 10.0% | \<$0.01 0.01 gems | 0.0% | 152 | 168.8 | 0.90× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-minimal-wear) Hidden $73.15 113 gems $6,268 9,643 gems 85.69x 2026-11-11 13:13 UTC [AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-minimal-wear) Hidden $73.15 113 gems $6,268 9,643 gems 85.69x 2026-11-10 14:44 UTC [AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-minimal-wear) Hidden $73.15 113 gems $6,268 9,643 gems 85.69x 2026-11-10 14:30 UTC [AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-minimal-wear) Hidden $73.15 113 gems $6,268 9,643 gems 85.69x 2026-11-10 14:16 UTC [AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-minimal-wear) Hidden $73.15 113 gems $6,268 9,643 gems 85.69x 2026-11-09 22:19 UTC [AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-minimal-wear) Hidden $73.15 113 gems $6,268 9,643 gems 85.69x 2026-11-07 22:53 UTC [AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-minimal-wear) Hidden $73.15 113 gems $6,268 9,643 gems 85.69x 2026-11-06 19:06 UTC [AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-minimal-wear) [Gropus The Grand](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Gropus%20The%20Grand) $73.15 113 gems $6,268 9,643 gems 85.69x 2026-11-05 17:37 UTC [AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-minimal-wear) Hidden $73.15 113 gems $6,268 9,643 gems 85.69x 2026-11-05 16:53 UTC [AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-minimal-wear) Hidden $73.15 113 gems $6,268 9,643 gems 85.69x 2026-11-05 16:27 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=all-risk) [SSG 08 | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-sand-dune-minimal-wear) Hidden $73.15 113 gems $5.62 8.65 gems 0.08x 2026-11-11 14:15 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-factory-new) Hidden $73.15 113 gems $0.18 0.28 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 14:15 UTC [SSG 08 | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-sand-dune-minimal-wear) Hidden $73.15 113 gems $5.62 8.65 gems 0.08x 2026-11-11 14:15 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-factory-new) [zyro](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/zyro) $73.15 113 gems $0.18 0.28 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 14:15 UTC [SG 553 | Bleached (Factory New) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-bleached-factory-new) Hidden $73.15 113 gems $0.40 0.61 gems 0.01x 2026-11-11 13:49 UTC [SG 553 | Bleached (Factory New) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-bleached-factory-new) Hidden $73.15 113 gems $0.40 0.61 gems 0.01x 2026-11-11 13:49 UTC [SSG 08 | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-sand-dune-minimal-wear) Hidden $73.15 113 gems $5.62 8.65 gems 0.08x 2026-11-11 13:49 UTC [Nova | Sand Dune (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-sand-dune-factory-new) Hidden $73.15 113 gems $0.04 0.06 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:49 UTC [MAG-7 | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-sand-dune-minimal-wear) Hidden $73.15 113 gems $2.70 4.16 gems 0.04x 2026-11-11 13:49 UTC [MAG-7 | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-sand-dune-minimal-wear) [☦︎Theta](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/%E2%98%A6%EF%B8%8ETheta) $73.15 113 gems $2.70 4.16 gems 0.04x 2026-11-11 13:49 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $73.15 | 90.00% | 8 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 1.0% industrial 11.0% Consumer Grade 19.0% Common 40.0% consumer 29.0% best hit $6,268 (85.69x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt