--- title: "Amphibious case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Amphibious ($123.54) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 6 items with odds, observed 92.19% over 355 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/amphibious rendered: 2026-11-11T23:47Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Amphibious](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/amphibious) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Amphibious A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/amphibious?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/amphibious?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/amphibious) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/amphibious?window=all) Price · $123.54 · 190 gems Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $111.19 from 6 items Observed RTP, 30d · 92.19% · 355 openings, odds method Variance · 10.1× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 20 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 75.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 4 openings · below min 7 days · 100.90% ±36.58 291 openings 30 days · 92.19% ±33.12 355 openings since tracking started · 92.19% ±33.12 355 openings -0.5% 186.5% 373.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/amphibious?window=24h) | 4 | 61.06% ±312.0 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/amphibious?window=7d) | 291 | 100.90% ±36.6 | +0.6σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/amphibious) | 355 | 92.19% ±33.1 | +0.1σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/amphibious?window=all) | 355 | 92.19% ±33.1 | +0.1σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 6 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 361 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Amphibiou (Factory New) gloves](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-amphibiou-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $3,864 5,945 gems | 34.8% | 3 | 3.6 | 0.83× | | [★ Karambit \| Bright Water (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-bright-water-factory-new) | 1 in 25 | $473 727 gems | 17.0% | 22 | 14.4 | 1.52× | | [★ Bayonet \| Freehand (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-freehand-factory-new) | 10.0% | $241 371 gems | 21.7% | 36 | 36.1 | 1.00× | | [M4A1-S \| Blue Phosphor (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-blue-phosphor-factory-new) | 10.0% | $164 253 gems | 14.8% | 34 | 36.1 | 0.94× | | [AWP \| Neo-Noir (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-neo-noir-factory-new) | 30.0% | $23.65 36.39 gems | 6.4% | 108 | 108.3 | 1.00× | | [M4A1-S \| Decimator (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-decimator-factory-new) | 45.0% | $13.29 20.45 gems | 5.4% | 158 | 162.5 | 0.97× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 17:55 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Sport Gloves | Amphibiou (Factory New) gloves](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-amphibiou-factory-new) [Live @ Kick/JaekCreates](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Live%20%40%20Kick%2FJaekCreates) $124 190 gems $3,864 5,945 gems 31.28x 2026-11-10 20:15 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Amphibiou (Factory New) gloves](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-amphibiou-factory-new) Hidden $124 190 gems $3,864 5,945 gems 31.28x 2026-11-07 23:21 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Amphibiou (Factory New) gloves](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-amphibiou-factory-new) Hidden $124 190 gems $3,864 5,945 gems 31.28x 2026-11-05 18:40 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=amphibious) [★ Bayonet | Freehand (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-freehand-factory-new) Hidden $124 190 gems $241 371 gems 1.95x 2026-11-11 22:30 UTC [AWP | Neo-Noir (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-neo-noir-factory-new) Hidden $124 190 gems $23.65 36.39 gems 0.19x 2026-11-11 22:30 UTC [AWP | Neo-Noir (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-neo-noir-factory-new) Hidden $124 190 gems $23.65 36.39 gems 0.19x 2026-11-11 22:30 UTC [M4A1-S | Decimator (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-decimator-factory-new) [Gentle Koala](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Gentle%20Koala) $124 190 gems $13.29 20.45 gems 0.11x 2026-11-11 22:30 UTC [M4A1-S | Decimator (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-decimator-factory-new) Hidden $124 190 gems $13.29 20.45 gems 0.11x 2026-11-10 22:01 UTC [M4A1-S | Decimator (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-decimator-factory-new) Hidden $124 190 gems $13.29 20.45 gems 0.11x 2026-11-10 22:01 UTC [AWP | Neo-Noir (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-neo-noir-factory-new) Hidden $124 190 gems $23.65 36.39 gems 0.19x 2026-11-10 22:01 UTC [M4A1-S | Decimator (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-decimator-factory-new) Hidden $124 190 gems $13.29 20.45 gems 0.11x 2026-11-10 22:01 UTC [M4A1-S | Decimator (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-decimator-factory-new) Hidden $124 190 gems $13.29 20.45 gems 0.11x 2026-11-10 22:01 UTC [AWP | Neo-Noir (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-neo-noir-factory-new) Hidden $124 190 gems $23.65 36.39 gems 0.19x 2026-11-10 22:01 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 01:59 UTC | $124 | 90.00% | 6 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed other 1.0% covert 44.0% classified 55.0% best hit $3,864 (31.28x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt