--- title: "Ancient Artifact case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Ancient Artifact ($85.87) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.99% from 9 items with odds, observed 95.33% over 885 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/ancient-artifact rendered: 2026-11-11T20:27Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Ancient Artifact](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/ancient-artifact) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Ancient Artifact A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/ancient-artifact?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/ancient-artifact?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/ancient-artifact) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/ancient-artifact?window=all) Price · $85.87 · 132 gems Advertised RTP · 89.99% · EV $77.28 from 9 items Observed RTP, 30d · 95.33% · 885 openings, odds method Variance · 7.7× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 20 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 90.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 76 openings · below min 7 days · 95.14% ±19.53 775 openings 30 days · 95.33% ±18.27 885 openings since tracking started · 95.33% ±18.27 885 openings 57.0% 120.0% 183.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/ancient-artifact?window=24h) | 76 | 120.19% ±62.4 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/ancient-artifact?window=7d) | 775 | 95.14% ±19.5 | +0.5σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/ancient-artifact) | 885 | 95.33% ±18.3 | +0.6σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/ancient-artifact?window=all) | 885 | 95.33% ±18.3 | +0.6σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 9 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 913 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Lore (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-lore-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $1,625 2,500 gems | 21.0% | 8 | 9.1 | 0.88× | | [AK-47 \| Fire Serpent (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fire-serpent-minimal-wear) | 1 in 25 | $910 1,400 gems | 47.1% | 43 | 36.5 | 1.18× | | [AK-47 \| The Empress (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-empress-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $235 361 gems | 15.2% | 42 | 45.7 | 0.92× | | [M4A4 \| The Emperor (Minimal Wear) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-the-emperor-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20 | $60.20 92.62 gems | 3.9% | 40 | 45.7 | 0.88× | | [★ Shadow Daggers \| Lore (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-lore-battle-scarred) | 10.0% | $37.70 58 gems | 4.9% | 111 | 91.3 | 1.22× | | [AWP \| Sun in Leo (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-sun-in-leo-minimal-wear) | 15.0% | $18.69 28.75 gems | 3.6% | 127 | 136.9 | 0.93× | | [Galil AR \| Cerberus (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-cerberus-battle-scarred) | 15.0% | $12.09 18.6 gems | 2.3% | 135 | 136.9 | 0.99× | | [SG 553 \| Colony IV (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-colony-iv-field-tested) | 15.0% | $5.84 8.98 gems | 1.1% | 147 | 136.9 | 1.07× | | [MAC-10 \| Allure (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-allure-factory-new) | 30.0% | $2.07 3.18 gems | 0.8% | 260 | 273.9 | 0.95× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 17:55 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Butterfly Knife | Lore (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-lore-factory-new) Hidden $85.87 132 gems $1,625 2,500 gems 18.92x 2026-11-11 11:01 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Lore (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-lore-factory-new) [BolpyFR](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/BolpyFR) $85.87 132 gems $1,625 2,500 gems 18.92x 2026-11-11 10:16 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Lore (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-lore-factory-new) Hidden $85.87 132 gems $1,625 2,500 gems 18.92x 2026-11-10 14:42 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Lore (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-lore-factory-new) Hidden $85.87 132 gems $1,625 2,500 gems 18.92x 2026-11-09 01:29 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Lore (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-lore-factory-new) Hidden $85.87 132 gems $1,625 2,500 gems 18.92x 2026-11-08 01:18 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Lore (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-lore-factory-new) Hidden $85.87 132 gems $1,625 2,500 gems 18.92x 2026-11-08 01:00 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Lore (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-lore-factory-new) Hidden $85.87 132 gems $1,625 2,500 gems 18.92x 2026-11-08 00:44 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Lore (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-lore-factory-new) Hidden $85.87 132 gems $1,625 2,500 gems 18.92x 2026-11-04 17:59 UTC [AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fire-serpent-minimal-wear) Hidden $85.87 132 gems $910 1,400 gems 10.60x 2026-11-11 18:09 UTC [AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fire-serpent-minimal-wear) Hidden $85.87 132 gems $910 1,400 gems 10.60x 2026-11-11 13:17 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=ancient-artifact) [AK-47 | The Empress (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-empress-factory-new) Hidden $85.87 132 gems $235 361 gems 2.73x 2026-11-11 18:20 UTC [Galil AR | Cerberus (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-cerberus-battle-scarred) Hidden $85.87 132 gems $12.09 18.6 gems 0.14x 2026-11-11 18:20 UTC [MAC-10 | Allure (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-allure-factory-new) Hidden $85.87 132 gems $2.07 3.18 gems 0.02x 2026-11-11 18:20 UTC [Galil AR | Cerberus (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-cerberus-battle-scarred) Hidden $85.87 132 gems $12.09 18.6 gems 0.14x 2026-11-11 18:20 UTC [AWP | Sun in Leo (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-sun-in-leo-minimal-wear) Hidden $85.87 132 gems $18.69 28.75 gems 0.22x 2026-11-11 18:20 UTC [SG 553 | Colony IV (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-colony-iv-field-tested) [HayzeusC](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/HayzeusC) $85.87 132 gems $5.84 8.98 gems 0.07x 2026-11-11 18:20 UTC [AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fire-serpent-minimal-wear) Hidden $85.87 132 gems $910 1,400 gems 10.60x 2026-11-11 18:09 UTC [MAC-10 | Allure (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-allure-factory-new) Hidden $85.87 132 gems $2.07 3.18 gems 0.02x 2026-11-11 18:09 UTC [MAC-10 | Allure (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-allure-factory-new) Hidden $85.87 132 gems $2.07 3.18 gems 0.02x 2026-11-11 18:09 UTC [AWP | Sun in Leo (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-sun-in-leo-minimal-wear) Hidden $85.87 132 gems $18.69 28.75 gems 0.22x 2026-11-11 18:09 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $85.87 | 89.99% | 9 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 20.0% red 5.0% industrial 15.0% restricted 15.0% classified 15.0% Mythical 30.0% best hit $1,625 (18.92x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.99 on average: an expected loss of $10.01 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt